Heartland Express Inc (NASDAQ: HTLD)

Sector: Industrials Industry: Trucking CIK: 0000799233
Market Cap 954.01 Mn
P/B 1.51
P/E 12.45
P/S 1.61
ROIC (Qtr) -4.35
Div Yield % 0.86
Rev 1y % (Qtr) -24.36
Total Debt (Qtr) 188.05 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.24
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About

Heartland Express Inc., commonly known as HTLD, operates in the truckload carrier and transportation services industry. The company has experienced significant growth since its inception in 1978, with revenues increasing from $21.6 million to $1.2 billion. This growth has been attributed to strategic acquisitions and organic growth. Heartland Express Inc. generates revenue through its primary products and services, which include nationwide asset-based dry van truckload service for major shippers across the United States, cross-border freight to...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 112.16M provides robust 0.60x coverage of total debt 188.05M, indicating excellent debt servicing capability and financial flexibility.
  • Healthy cash reserves of 32.69M provide 3.31x coverage of short-term debt 9.89M, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 845.26M provides 4.49x coverage of total debt 188.05M, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Operating cash flow of 112.16M provides strong 67.89x coverage of stock compensation 1.65M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Strong operating cash flow of 112.16M provides 13x coverage of SG&A expenses 8.63M, showing efficient operational cost management.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 112.16M barely covers its investment activities of (72.27M), with a coverage ratio of -1.55, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 112.16M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (6.26M) with a -17.91 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Operating cash flow of 112.16M provides minimal -10.86x coverage of tax expenses of (10.33M), suggesting potential tax planning inefficiencies or unsustainable tax positions.
  • Operating earnings of (32.75M) show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 165.76M, with a -0.20 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.
  • High depreciation of 165.76M relative to operating cash flow of 112.16M, which is 1.48x suggests significant maintenance capital requirements affecting free cash flow.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Trucking
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 ODFL Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. 48.73 Bn 782.67 33.27 0.08 Bn
2 XPO XPO, Inc. 23.75 Bn 75.14 2.91 4.09 Bn
3 SAIA Saia Inc 10.38 Bn 36.60 3.21 0.35 Bn
4 TFII TFI International Inc. 10.05 Bn 32.37 1.27 3.33 Bn
5 KNX Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. 9.89 Bn 11.13 1.36 3.22 Bn
6 SNDR Schneider National, Inc. 4.98 Bn 12.00 1.10 0.52 Bn
7 ARCB Arcbest Corp /De/ 2.70 Bn 45.25 0.96 0.46 Bn
8 RXO RXO, Inc. 2.51 Bn -25.14 0.44 0.67 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.63 1.82
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 5.28 30.89
EV to Debt EV to Debt 4.21 334.88
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 7.88 41.39
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 4.57 30.41
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 8.17 8.80
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 0.83 1.18
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 1.34 3.58
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 1.51 8.76
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 12.45 71.24
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) -5.57 1.04
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) -17.40 27.17
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.08 0.34
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 15.56 16.21
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) -2.63 2,509.13
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -684.03 -384.47
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 6.34 6.65
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 0.00 -0.53
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -249.22 -139.40
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -24.09 -265.30
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -250.76 -150.93
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -53.77 -53,829.57
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -64.29 -170.98
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -75.10 59.93
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) -18.63 -3.53
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.69 1.07
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.03 0.05
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.27 0.23
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 1.14 1.44
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.24 0.64
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) -2.63 2,509.13
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) -2.63 2,509.13
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 15.30 10.72
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) -3.77 1.50
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) -5.20 0.13
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 69.00 46.24
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) -4.00 -0.55