Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (NASDAQ: ODFL)

Sector: Industrials Industry: Trucking CIK: 0000878927
Market Cap 48.73 Bn
P/B 86.69
P/E 782.67
P/S 33.27
ROIC (Qtr) 23.91
Div Yield % 0.14
Rev 1y % (Qtr) -4.33
Total Debt (Qtr) 84.99 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.02
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About

Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc., often abbreviated as ODFL, is a prominent player in the North American less-than-truckload (LTL) motor carrier industry. The company, which was established in 1934, has its headquarters in Thomasville, North Carolina. ODFL's primary business activities involve the regional, inter-regional, and national transportation of LTL shipments. The company's operations span across the United States, with over 95% of its revenue originating from domestic services and less than 5% from international services. ODFL's revenue...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 1.46B provides robust 17.19x coverage of total debt 84.99M, indicating excellent debt servicing capability and financial flexibility.
  • Healthy cash reserves of 46.59M provide 2.33x coverage of short-term debt 20M, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Operating cash flow of 1.46B provides exceptional 39483.76x coverage of interest expenses 37000, showing strong debt service capability.
  • Operating cash flow of 1.46B provides strong 128.72x coverage of stock compensation 11.35M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 5.52B provides 64.91x coverage of total debt 84.99M, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 1.46B barely covers its investment activities of (525.19M), with a coverage ratio of -2.78, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 1.46B provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (232.62M) with a -6.28 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Operating cash flow of 1.46B is outpaced by equity issuance of (747.95M) (-1.95 ratio), indicating concerning reliance on equity markets for funding operations.
  • Tax assets of 0 provide limited offset against tax liabilities of 374.32M, which is 0x, indicating potential future cash flow pressure from tax obligations.
  • R&D investment of 0 represents just 0x of SG&A expenses of 2.86B, indicating potential underinvestment in innovation relative to administrative overhead.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Trucking
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 ODFL Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. 48.73 Bn 782.67 33.27 0.08 Bn
2 XPO XPO, Inc. 23.75 Bn 75.14 2.91 4.09 Bn
3 SAIA Saia Inc 10.38 Bn 36.60 3.21 0.35 Bn
4 TFII TFI International Inc. 10.05 Bn 32.37 1.27 3.33 Bn
5 KNX Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. 9.89 Bn 11.13 1.36 3.22 Bn
6 SNDR Schneider National, Inc. 4.98 Bn 12.00 1.10 0.52 Bn
7 ARCB Arcbest Corp /De/ 2.70 Bn 45.25 0.96 0.46 Bn
8 RXO RXO, Inc. 2.51 Bn -25.14 0.44 0.67 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 8.87 1.82
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 256.99 30.89
EV to Debt EV to Debt 576.02 334.88
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 421.97 41.39
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 236.26 30.41
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF -1,024.89 8.80
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.00 1.18
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 33.43 3.58
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 86.69 8.76
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 782.67 71.24
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 4.55 1.04
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 22.00 27.17
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 1.10 0.34
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 24.67 16.21
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 37,604.68 2,509.13
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) 20.86 -384.47
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -37.18 6.65
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 12.24 -0.53
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -15.13 -139.40
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -11.12 -265.30
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -15.57 -150.93
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -15.56 -53,829.57
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -13.04 -170.98
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -9.26 59.93
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) -4.96 -3.53
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 1.01 1.07
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.12 0.05
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.08 0.23
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 1.20 1.44
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.02 0.64
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 37,604.68 2,509.13
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 37,604.68 2,509.13
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 31.70 10.72
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 24.96 1.50
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 24.96 0.13
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 85.00 46.24
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 19.00 -0.55