HighPeak Energy, Inc. (NASDAQ: HPK)

Sector: Energy Industry: Oil & Gas E&P CIK: 0001792849
Market Cap 554.98 Mn
P/B 0.47
P/E 2.34
P/S 0.73
ROIC (Qtr) 7.31
Div Yield % 2.93
Rev 1y % (Qtr) -30.46
Total Debt (Qtr) 1.19 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.73
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About

HighPeak Energy, Inc., a company that trades under the symbols HPK and HPKW on the NYSE American, is an independent crude oil and natural gas exploration and production company operating in the Permian Basin in West Texas. The company's main business activities involve the exploration, development, and production of crude oil, natural gas liquids (NGL), and natural gas in the Permian Basin, specifically in the Midland Basin. HighPeak Energy operates in two core areas, Flat Top and Signal Peak, which are located in Howard and Borden Counties, Texas. The...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 558.02M provides robust 0.47x coverage of total debt 1.19B, indicating excellent debt servicing capability and financial flexibility.
  • Healthy cash reserves of 164.91M provide 5.34x coverage of short-term debt 30.89M, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Operating cash flow of 558.02M provides strong 307.11x coverage of stock compensation 1.82M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Strong operating cash flow of 558.02M provides 20.41x coverage of SG&A expenses 27.35M, showing efficient operational cost management.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 3.20B provides 2.69x coverage of total debt 1.19B, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 558.02M barely covers its investment activities of (571.82M), with a coverage ratio of -0.98, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 558.02M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (22.64M) with a -24.64 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Investment activities of (571.82M) provide weak support for R&D spending of 4.10M, which is -139.47x, suggesting potentially insufficient investment in innovation relative to other capital deployment.
  • High receivables of 54.56M relative to inventory of 9.91M (5.51 ratio) suggests aggressive credit terms or collection difficulties, potentially masking revenue quality issues.
  • Free cash flow of (13.80M) provides weak coverage of capital expenditures of 571.82M, with a -0.02 ratio suggesting additional external financing needs for growth initiatives.

Consolidation Items Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Product and Service Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Oil & Gas E&P
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 COP Conocophillips 136.62 Bn 17.10 2.22 23.44 Bn
2 CNQ Canadian Natural Resources Ltd 85.21 Bn 17.67 3.04 12.51 Bn
3 EOG Eog Resources Inc 66.33 Bn -60.48 8.67 8.13 Bn
4 FANG Diamondback Energy, Inc. 49.64 Bn -2,818.83 314.47 16.24 Bn
5 OXY Occidental Petroleum Corp /De/ 37.18 Bn 15.36 2.56 22.88 Bn
6 WDS Woodside Energy Group Ltd 34.64 Bn 11.73 2.51 -
7 TPL Texas Pacific Land Corp 29.74 Bn 126.16 78.66 0.02 Bn
8 DVN Devon Energy Corp/De 18.80 Bn 3.24 1.91 8.55 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.34 1.02
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 2.15 18.21
EV to Debt EV to Debt 0.91 54.57
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 2.98 29.98
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 1.80 19.64
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF -1.60 39.33
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.95 1.57
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 1.43 11.47
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 0.47 2.97
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 2.34 -25.98
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 2.35 26.80
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 43.20 31.86
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.16 0.78
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) -144.14 1.05
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 1.47 -4.97
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) 14.00 -533.65
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 21.64 52.06
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 33.33 -5.45
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -46.96 6.14
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -26.89 105.89
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -46.66 75.94
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -70.48 17.44
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -71.97 3.07
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -111.44 -43.36
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) -26.07 149.32
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.28 0.33
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.02 0.07
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 1.08 1.32
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 1.65 2.37
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.73 0.34
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 1.47 -4.97
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 1.47 -4.97
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 72.40 16.19
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 25.08 -16.83
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 8.06 -24.06
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 78.80 58.92
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 6.00 -28.75