Conocophillips (NYSE: COP)

Sector: Energy Industry: Oil & Gas E&P CIK: 0001163165
Market Cap 136.62 Bn
P/B 2.12
P/E 17.10
P/S 2.22
ROIC (Qtr) 10.13
Div Yield % 2.21
Rev 1y % (Qtr) -3.75
Total Debt (Qtr) 23.44 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.36
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About

ConocoPhillips, a prominent independent energy company with a market capitalization exceeding $100 billion, operates across various global markets with a diverse portfolio of oil and gas assets. The company's main business activities encompass exploration, production, transportation, and marketing of crude oil, natural gas, bitumen, NGLs, and LNG. In its operations, ConocoPhillips is segmented into six primary categories: Alaska, Lower 48, Canada, Europe, Middle East and North Africa, Asia Pacific, and Other International. Each segment showcases...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 19.80B provides robust 0.84x coverage of total debt 23.44B, indicating excellent debt servicing capability and financial flexibility.
  • Healthy cash reserves of 6.50B provide 6.37x coverage of short-term debt 1.02B, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 121.94B provides 5.20x coverage of total debt 23.44B, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Operating cash flow of 19.80B provides exceptional 23.15x coverage of interest expenses 855M, showing strong debt service capability.
  • Strong operating cash flow of 19.80B provides 22.17x coverage of SG&A expenses 893M, showing efficient operational cost management.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 19.80B barely covers its investment activities of (8.84B), with a coverage ratio of -2.24, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Investment activities of (8.84B) provide weak support for R&D spending of 407M, which is -21.71x, suggesting potentially insufficient investment in innovation relative to other capital deployment.
  • Operating cash flow of 19.80B provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (4B) with a -4.96 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • High receivables of 5.81B relative to inventory of 1.87B (3.10 ratio) suggests aggressive credit terms or collection difficulties, potentially masking revenue quality issues.
  • Operating earnings of 13.51B show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 11.50B, with a 1.17 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2025)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Oil & Gas E&P
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 COP Conocophillips 136.62 Bn 17.10 2.22 23.44 Bn
2 CNQ Canadian Natural Resources Ltd 85.21 Bn 17.67 3.04 12.51 Bn
3 EOG Eog Resources Inc 66.33 Bn -60.48 8.67 8.13 Bn
4 FANG Diamondback Energy, Inc. 49.64 Bn -2,818.83 314.47 16.24 Bn
5 OXY Occidental Petroleum Corp /De/ 37.18 Bn 15.36 2.56 22.88 Bn
6 WDS Woodside Energy Group Ltd 34.64 Bn 11.73 2.51 -
7 TPL Texas Pacific Land Corp 29.74 Bn 126.16 78.66 0.02 Bn
8 DVN Devon Energy Corp/De 18.80 Bn 3.24 1.91 8.55 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 1.27 1.02
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 7.82 18.21
EV to Debt EV to Debt 6.60 54.57
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 11.46 29.98
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 6.10 19.64
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 21.38 39.33
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.13 1.57
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 2.52 11.47
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 2.12 2.97
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 17.10 -25.98
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 2.00 26.80
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 50.00 31.86
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 2.40 0.78
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 41.49 1.05
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 15.80 -4.97
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -3.59 -533.65
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 15.87 52.06
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) -23.08 -5.45
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -12.76 6.14
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 4.40 105.89
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -6.53 75.94
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -7.43 17.44
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -18.67 3.07
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -9.53 -43.36
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 2.46 149.32
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.50 0.33
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.12 0.07
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.54 1.32
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 1.30 2.37
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.36 0.34
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 15.80 -4.97
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 15.80 -4.97
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 40.60 16.19
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 21.95 -16.83
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 20.56 -24.06
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 43.50 58.92
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 13.00 -28.75