Chord Energy Corp (NASDAQ: CHRD)

Sector: Energy Industry: Oil & Gas E&P CIK: 0001486159
Market Cap 3.03 Bn
P/B 0.65
P/E 1.63
P/S 0.83
ROIC (Qtr) 3.04
Div Yield % 27.90
Rev 1y % (Qtr) -9.54
Total Debt (Qtr) 1.51 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.19
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About

Chord Energy Corp (CHRD) is an independent exploration and production company operating in the oil and gas industry, specifically in the Williston Basin. The company's primary business activities include the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of crude oil, natural gas liquids (NGLs), and natural gas. Chord Energy Corp's operations span across the United States, with a significant focus on the Williston Basin, which is located in North Dakota and Montana. The company generates revenue primarily through the sale of crude oil, NGLs,...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 2.20B provides robust 1.46x coverage of total debt 1.51B, indicating excellent debt servicing capability and financial flexibility.
  • Healthy cash reserves of 629.21M provide 25.55x coverage of short-term debt 24.62M, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Operating cash flow of 2.20B provides exceptional 31.06x coverage of interest expenses 70.90M, showing strong debt service capability.
  • Operating cash flow of 2.20B provides strong 83.39x coverage of stock compensation 26.41M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 13.10B provides 8.68x coverage of total debt 1.51B, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 2.20B barely covers its investment activities of (1.31B), with a coverage ratio of -1.68, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 2.20B provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (773.33M) with a -2.85 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Investment activities of (1.31B) provide weak support for R&D spending of 4.10M, which is -319.85x, suggesting potentially insufficient investment in innovation relative to other capital deployment.
  • Cash reserves of 629.21M provide limited coverage of acquisition spending of (617000), which is -1019.79x, suggesting aggressive expansion might strain liquidity if market conditions deteriorate.
  • High receivables of 1.21B relative to inventory of 137.60M (8.80 ratio) suggests aggressive credit terms or collection difficulties, potentially masking revenue quality issues.

Product and Service Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Oil & Gas E&P
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 COP Conocophillips 136.62 Bn 17.10 2.22 23.44 Bn
2 CNQ Canadian Natural Resources Ltd 85.21 Bn 17.67 3.04 12.51 Bn
3 EOG Eog Resources Inc 66.33 Bn -60.48 8.67 8.13 Bn
4 FANG Diamondback Energy, Inc. 49.64 Bn -2,818.83 314.47 16.24 Bn
5 OXY Occidental Petroleum Corp /De/ 37.18 Bn 15.36 2.56 22.88 Bn
6 WDS Woodside Energy Group Ltd 34.64 Bn 11.73 2.51 -
7 TPL Texas Pacific Land Corp 29.74 Bn 126.16 78.66 0.02 Bn
8 DVN Devon Energy Corp/De 18.80 Bn 3.24 1.91 8.55 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.21 1.02
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 1.45 18.21
EV to Debt EV to Debt 1.85 54.57
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 1.52 29.98
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 1.43 19.64
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 2.01 39.33
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 0.92 1.57
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 0.77 11.47
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 0.65 2.97
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 1.63 -25.98
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 0.22 26.80
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 182.30 31.86
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 5.34 0.78
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 35.67 1.05
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 6.46 -4.97
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -18.07 -533.65
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 1,108.85 52.06
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) -52.36 -5.45
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -79.27 6.14
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -13.29 105.89
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -64.46 75.94
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -68.87 17.44
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -85.42 3.07
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -8.36 -43.36
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 8.88 149.32
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.39 0.33
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.22 0.07
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.41 1.32
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 1.35 2.37
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.19 0.34
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 6.46 -4.97
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 6.46 -4.97
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 37.00 16.19
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 8.87 -16.83
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 7.49 -24.06
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 48.50 58.92
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 3.30 -28.75