Adamas Trust
NASDAQ: ADAM
$8.65 ▲ +0.06  (+0.70%)
At close: Jul 24, 2026 · 3:59 PM UTC
Financial Ratios
Market Cap771.91 Mn
P/E7.21
Div. Yield0.10
Total Debt (Qtr)45.00 Mn
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About

Adamas Trust, Inc. is an internally managed real estate investment trust that was formed in 2003 and elected to be taxed as a REIT under the Internal Revenue Code. The company concentrates its capital on mortgage related residential assets and on originating business purpose loans for real estate investors. Its investment approach combines holdings of Agency RMBS residential loans non Agency securities and other credit related instruments with an active origination platform…

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Sector: Real Estate Industry: REIT - Mortgage CIK: 0001273685

Investment Thesis

▲ Bull case
  • The company reported earnings available for distribution of $0.29 per share in Q1 FY26 representing a 26% increase quarter over quarter and a 45% increase year over year. This growth in EAD exceeds the current dividend of $0.23 per share providing a coverage ratio well above one times. Management indicated that the board is evaluating sustainable dividend growth while preserving book value suggesting that dividend increases could be on the horizon as earnings power continues to scale. The operating leverage evident from rising EAD relative to distributions points to capacity for higher payouts without eroding capital buffers. The sustained growth in EAD also provides a foundation for potential share repurchase acceleration should market discounts persist.
  • Constructive generated a stand alone profit of approximately $2,500,000 in Q1 FY26 after a loss in the prior quarter delivering a return on equity of about 13% and moving toward the original underwriting target of 15%. The platform’s mortgage banking income was driven by gains on residential loans held for sale and origination fees indicating a diversified revenue base within the origination business. Management highlighted that increasing volume is the primary lever to raise earnings and that the platform is not capital constrained allowing for expansion of broker networks and retail origination channels. As integration nears completion the focus shifts to technology and process improvements which are expected to further enhance operating efficiency and profitability over the coming quarters. Continued investment in technology upgrades is expected to reduce origination costs and improve turnaround times further supporting volume growth.
  • Agency RMBS remains the anchor of the capital allocation framework representing 56% of equity capital and providing stable earnings with strong downside protection amid market volatility. The firm benefited from derivative gains of $87,800,000 in Q1 FY26 including both mark to market and settlement gains on hedges that outperformed as macro conditions evolved. These hedge results not only boosted quarterly profitability but also demonstrated the effectiveness of the firm’s risk management framework in navigating rate volatility and spread widening. By rotating into higher coupon agency pools and reducing duration exposure the firm positioned its agency book to benefit from subsequent rate backups while maintaining a neutral basis outlook as volatility normalizes. The firm’s disciplined approach to duration management aims to mitigate interest rate risk while preserving the ability to capture yield spread opportunities as market conditions stabilize.
  • The firm ended Q1 FY26 with $199,000,000 of available cash and $418,000,000 of total liquidity capacity including unencumbered and underlevered assets providing ample firepower for future investment activity. Company recourse leverage stood at 5.2x with portfolio recourse leverage at 4.9x indicating a conservative capital structure that leaves room for additional agency financing or residential credit expansion. Share repurchases occurred during the quarter at a price representing a 32% discount to adjusted book value and a 15% discount to the value of the equity capital invested in agency alone signaling management’s belief that intrinsic value exceeds market price. Continued execution of the strategy combined with the existing liquidity buffer is expected to drive convergence between market price and intrinsic value over the medium term. Strong liquidity levels also give the firm flexibility to pursue opportunistic acquisitions in residential credit without relying on external financing.
▼ Bear case
  • The net interest spread declined to 145 basis points in Q1 FY26 from 152 basis points in the prior quarter reflecting the ongoing transition of the portfolio toward lower yielding Agency RMBS and BPL rental loans as higher coupon BPL bridge loans continue to run off. This margin compression suggests that the benefit from improved financing costs may not fully offset the yield drag from the evolving asset mix. Management acknowledged the spread decline as a consequence of the portfolio shift indicating that further compression could occur if the transition accelerates. Persistent pressure on net interest spread could constrain earnings growth and limit the ability to increase earnings available for distribution at historic rates. If the shift toward lower yielding assets continues at a faster pace than anticipated the net interest margin could face additional pressure beyond current levels.
  • Management cited heightened volatility driven by geopolitical developments in the Middle East as a source of increased rate volatility periodic spread widening and shifting monetary policy expectations creating an unpredictable environment for fixed income investments. The Iran conflict was noted as a potential supply driven stagflation shock that could complicate the Federal Reserve’s dual mandate and keep upside risks to both inflation and unemployment elevated. While the firm expressed confidence in a future bias toward rate cuts the near term inflation pressure remains a concern that could keep spreads wide and hinder the normalization of volatility. Continued exposure to such macro shocks could erode the benefits of hedging strategies and lead to unexpected losses on derivative positions. Prolonged geopolitical tension may also lead to increased correlation between credit spreads and sovereign yields reducing the diversification benefits of the firm’s hedge portfolio.
  • Company recourse leverage was reported at 5.2x with portfolio recourse leverage at 4.9x and the firm noted that leverage is primarily concentrated on agency financing. This concentration means that any adverse movement in agency spreads or changes in GSE support could disproportionately affect the firm’s financing costs and overall profitability. While the leverage ratios appear moderate the reliance on agency funding creates a vulnerability to shifts in the repo market or changes in regulatory treatment of agency securities. A sudden tightening of agency financing conditions could pressure the balance sheet and limit the firm’s ability to grow its investment portfolio at desired pace. A deterioration in agency financing terms could also increase the cost of repo funding which is a key component of the firm’s leverage structure.
  • Although constructive delivered a stand alone profit of $2,500,000 in Q1 FY26 the improvement came after a prior quarter loss and the platform’s return on equity remains below the original underwriting target of 15%. Management emphasized that increasing volume is the key driver for future earnings implying that profitability is not yet self sustaining at current origination levels. The platform’s success depends on expanding broker networks retail origination channels and achieving further technology and process efficiencies which may take time to materialize. If volume growth stalls or if integration costs persist constructive could revert to a loss position weighing on consolidated earnings. Should the constructive platform fail to achieve scalable profitability the firm may need to allocate additional capital to support the business which could dilute returns to shareholders.

Peer Comparison

Companies in the REIT - Mortgage
S.No. Ticker Company Market CapP/EP/STotal Debt (Qtr)
1 NLY Annaly Capital Management Inc 16.30 Bn9.22-1.10 Bn
2 AGNC AGNC Investment Corp. 11.85 Bn9.10-87.62 Bn
3 STWD Starwood Property Trust, Inc. 5.99 Bn15.583.0918.85 Bn
4 RITM Rithm Capital Corp. 5.01 Bn8.351.00-
5 BXMT Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. 2.78 Bn26.92-7.870.78 Bn
6 EFC Ellington Financial Inc. 1.63 Bn12.973.930.26 Bn
7 DX Dynex Capital Inc 1.56 Bn10.91--
8 ARR Armour Residential REIT, Inc. 1.42 Bn4.98-19.44 Bn