Rocket Companies, Inc. (NYSE: RKT)

Sector: Financial Services Industry: Mortgage Finance CIK: 0001805284
Market Cap 37.92 Bn
P/B 4.28
P/E -371.21
P/S 6.57
ROIC (Qtr) 1.41
Div Yield % 4.35
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 148.13
Total Debt (Qtr) 19.41 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 2.19
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About

Rocket Companies, Inc., popularly recognized by its stock symbol RKT, is a Detroit-based fintech firm that operates in the mortgage, real estate, and personal finance industries. The company has established a reputation for simplified, speedy, and reliable digital experiences, making it a widely recognized brand. Rocket's primary business activities revolve around delivering top-tier client experiences in the financial wellness, personal loans, home search, mortgage finance, title, and closing sectors. These activities are primarily conducted in...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong free cash flow of (923.97M) provides 11.76x coverage of acquisition spending (78.54M), indicating disciplined M&A strategy.
  • Free cash flow of (923.97M) provides excellent 3.91x coverage of dividends (236.18M), indicating sustainable shareholder returns.
  • Cash position of 5.86B provides exceptional 13.06x coverage of minority interest expenses 448.55M, indicating strong liquidity.
  • Cash reserves of 5.86B provide comfortable 5.13x coverage of tax obligations 1.14B, showing strong fiscal management.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 30.29B provides 9.23x coverage of intangibles 3.28B, indicating robust asset quality.

Bear case

  • Cash reserves of 5.86B provide limited coverage of acquisition spending of (78.54M), which is -74.57x, suggesting aggressive expansion might strain liquidity if market conditions deteriorate.
  • The company's operating cash flow of (854.23M) shows concerning coverage of stock compensation expenses of 197.19M, with a -4.33 ratio indicating potential earnings quality issues.
  • Free cash flow of (923.97M) provides weak coverage of capital expenditures of 69.73M, with a -13.25 ratio suggesting additional external financing needs for growth initiatives.
  • Operating earnings of 114.86M show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 162.06M, with a 0.71 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.
  • Operating cash flow of (854.23M) barely covers operating expenses of 404.28M with a -2.11 ratio, suggesting thin operational efficiency margins and limited flexibility.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Mortgage Finance
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 FNMA Federal National Mortgage Association Fannie Mae 45.24 Bn 5,026.67 1.55 4,053.14 Bn
2 RKT Rocket Companies, Inc. 37.92 Bn -371.21 6.57 19.41 Bn
3 FMCC Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corp 27.03 Bn -346.50 1.16 3,405.02 Bn
4 WD Walker & Dunlop, Inc. 1.85 Bn 22.56 3.96 3.01 Bn
5 PFSI PennyMac Financial Services, Inc. 1.63 Bn 113.11 4.21 19.40 Bn
6 VEL Velocity Financial, Inc. 0.71 Bn 7.90 2.27 6.15 Bn
7 BETR Better Home & Finance Holding Co 0.47 Bn -2.56 3.26 0.55 Bn
8 LDI loanDepot, Inc. 0.41 Bn -5.61 0.36 4.51 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 1.51 -0.29
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO -59.30 -306.56
EV to Debt EV to Debt 2.61 -0.16
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 441.01 74.08
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 69.82 34.17
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF -54.82 16,800.36
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.34 19.32
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 8.78 21.05
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 4.28 -3.89
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E -371.21 294.11
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) -0.43 7.52
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 800.00 141.58
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.80 0.43
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) -182.23 -7.23
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 0.42 -0.52
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -44.54 -24.00
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 369.10 52.20
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 0.00 1.53
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -28.23 10.22
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 5,034.98 393.39
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -14.44 -7.84
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -704.51 -41.79
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 190.91 -5.52
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 70.45 -27.18
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 68.91 15.35
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.17 0.11
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) -0.30 -0.02
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio 0.00 0.01
Current Ratio Current Ratio 0.00 0.01
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 2.19 15.84
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 0.42 -0.52
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 0.42 -0.52
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 4.80 18.97
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 1.99 -17.72
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) -2.71 -17.90
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 53.80 72.92
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) -1.80 -25.85