Federal National Mortgage Association Fannie Mae (OTC: FNMA)

Sector: Financial Services Industry: Mortgage Finance CIK: 0000310522
Market Cap 45.24 Bn
P/B 0.42
P/E 5,026.67
P/S 1.55
ROIC (Qtr) 0.38
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 12.32
Total Debt (Qtr) 4,053.14 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 37.18
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About

Federal National Mortgage Association, also known as Fannie Mae, is a prominent player in the United States housing market, operating as a government-sponsored, stockholder-owned corporation. Its primary goal is to provide liquidity and stability to the U.S. housing market and promote access to mortgage credit. Headquartered in Washington D.C., Fannie Mae can be identified on the stock market with the symbol FNMA. Fannie Mae's main business activities revolve around the acquisition of residential mortgage loans from lenders, which are then pooled...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 23.99B provides 6.70x coverage of SG&A expenses 3.58B, showing efficient operational cost management.
  • Operating cash flow of 23.99B provides strong 4x coverage of operating expenses 5.99B, showing operational efficiency.
  • Strong free cash flow of 26.69B provides 7.46x coverage of SG&A expenses 3.58B, indicating efficient cost management.
  • Free cash flow of 26.69B provides solid 4.46x coverage of operating expenses 5.99B, showing operational efficiency.
  • Cash position of 42.58B fully covers payables of 12.04B by 3.54x, showing strong vendor relationship management.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 23.99B barely covers its investment activities of 186.90B, with a coverage ratio of 0.13, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Free cash flow of 26.69B provides weak coverage of capital expenditures of (2.70B), with a -9.87 ratio suggesting additional external financing needs for growth initiatives.
  • Free cash flow of 26.69B represents just -0.13x of debt issuance (206.84B), suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.
  • Retained earnings of (24.26B) provide limited buffer against comprehensive income items of 20M, which is -1213.05x, indicating elevated exposure to market risks.
  • R&D investment of 0 represents just 0x of SG&A expenses of 3.58B, indicating potential underinvestment in innovation relative to administrative overhead.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Mortgage Finance
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 FNMA Federal National Mortgage Association Fannie Mae 45.24 Bn 5,026.67 1.55 4,053.14 Bn
2 RKT Rocket Companies, Inc. 37.92 Bn -371.21 6.57 19.41 Bn
3 FMCC Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corp 27.03 Bn -346.50 1.16 3,405.02 Bn
4 WD Walker & Dunlop, Inc. 1.85 Bn 22.56 3.96 3.01 Bn
5 PFSI PennyMac Financial Services, Inc. 1.63 Bn 113.11 4.21 19.40 Bn
6 VEL Velocity Financial, Inc. 0.71 Bn 7.90 2.27 6.15 Bn
7 BETR Better Home & Finance Holding Co 0.47 Bn -2.56 3.26 0.55 Bn
8 LDI loanDepot, Inc. 0.41 Bn -5.61 0.36 4.51 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.90 -0.29
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 162.32 -306.56
EV to Debt EV to Debt 0.96 -0.16
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 216.53 74.08
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 198.78 34.17
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 145.88 16,800.36
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 86.07 19.32
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 133.54 21.05
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 0.42 -3.89
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 5,026.67 294.11
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 0.00 7.52
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 141.58
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.43
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 -7.23
Interest Coverage Interest Coverage 0.00 -0.52
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -25.63 -24.00
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 10.50 52.20
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 1.53
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -15.40 10.22
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -7.09 393.39
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -15.45 -7.84
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -15.45 -41.79
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 0.00 -5.52
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 487.75 -27.18
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) -5.31 15.35
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.01 0.11
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 -0.02
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio 0.00 0.01
Current Ratio Current Ratio 0.00 0.01
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 37.18 15.84
Interest Cover Ratio Interest Cover Ratio 0.00 -0.52
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned 0.00 -0.52
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 61.70 18.97
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 61.67 -17.72
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 61.67 -17.90
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 100.00 72.92
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 0.00 -25.85