Cvr Partners, Lp (NYSE: UAN)

Sector: Basic Materials Industry: Agricultural Inputs CIK: 0001425292
Market Cap 1.13 Bn
P/B 3.80
P/E 13.61
P/S 1.94
ROIC (Qtr) 17.74
Div Yield % 20.39
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 30.63
Total Debt (Qtr) 569.12 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 1.79
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About

CVR Partners, LP, or UAN, is a prominent player in the nitrogen fertilizer industry, operating primarily in the United States. The company produces nitrogen fertilizer products at two manufacturing facilities, one in Coffeyville, Kansas, and the other in East Dubuque, Illinois. UAN's primary products are ammonia and urea ammonium nitrate (UAN), which are essential for farmers looking to enhance the yield and quality of their crops, particularly corn and wheat. UAN's business model revolves around generating revenue through the sale of its products...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Operating cash flow of 184.03M provides strong 20.33x coverage of stock compensation 9.05M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Strong operating cash flow of 184.03M provides 5.67x coverage of SG&A expenses 32.44M, showing efficient operational cost management.
  • Robust free cash flow of 138.45M exceeds capital expenditure of 45.58M by 3.04x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Tangible assets of 1.04B provide exceptional 17.85x coverage of deferred revenue 58.09M, showing strong service capability backing.
  • Operating cash flow of 184.03M provides strong 3.17x coverage of deferred revenue 58.09M, indicating service delivery capability.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 184.03M barely covers its investment activities of (38.95M), with a coverage ratio of -4.72, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 184.03M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (96.08M) with a -1.92 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Operating earnings of 157.63M show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 82.89M, with a 1.90 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.
  • Free cash flow of 138.45M represents just -139.57x of debt issuance (992000), suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.
  • High depreciation of 82.89M relative to operating cash flow of 184.03M, which is 0.45x suggests significant maintenance capital requirements affecting free cash flow.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Agricultural Inputs
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 CTVA Corteva, Inc. 51.66 Bn 47.22 2.97 2.58 Bn
2 NTR Nutrien Ltd. 33.97 Bn 18.78 1.28 14.18 Bn
3 CF CF Industries Holdings, Inc. 24.01 Bn 17.27 5.06 3.40 Bn
4 MOS Mosaic Co 11.47 Bn 12.98 1.20 4.57 Bn
5 ICL ICL Group Ltd. 7.35 Bn 19.93 1.04 2.68 Bn
6 SMG Scotts Miracle-Gro Co 4.04 Bn 45.09 1.21 2.53 Bn
7 FMC Fmc Corp 1.81 Bn 1.37 0.40 4.58 Bn
8 UAN Cvr Partners, Lp 1.13 Bn 13.61 1.94 0.57 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 1.58 0.81
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 10.51 10.02
EV to Debt EV to Debt 2.87 10.62
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 14.52 46.09
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 8.34 7.11
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 12.90 9.01
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.44 1.48
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 2.80 1.04
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 3.80 0.69
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 13.61 13.22
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 1.32 1.10
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 75.50 28.62
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 9.09 1.49
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 69.39 2.06
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 5.20 3.21
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -56.19 10,378.95
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 41.29 20.72
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 28.94 -0.75
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 92.19 -98.96
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 44.24 -212.56
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 91.66 -25.56
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 141.30 257.67
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 142.25 -169.70
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 52.64 -105.41
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 73.18 14.76
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.59 0.49
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.42 0.00
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 1.45 0.66
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 2.68 1.99
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 1.79 0.09
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 5.20 3.21
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 5.20 3.21
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 39.10 -162.19
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 25.65 -175.66
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 20.72 -244.07
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 31.00 32.49
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 20.70 -252.26