Intrepid Potash, Inc. (NYSE: IPI)

Sector: Basic Materials Industry: Agricultural Inputs CIK: 0001421461
Market Cap 425.76 Mn
P/B 0.87
P/E -2.18
P/S 1.53
ROIC (Qtr) -0.01
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) -7.52
Total Debt (Qtr) 3.71 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.01
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About

Intrepid Potash, Inc. (IPI), a diversified mineral company, operates in the potassium, magnesium, sulfur, salt, and water products industry. The company's main business activities include the production and sale of essential products for customer success in agriculture, animal feed, and the oil and gas industry. Intrepid Potash operates in the United States, with solution mining facilities in Carlsbad, New Mexico, Moab, Utah, and Wendover, Utah, as well as a North compaction facility in Carlsbad, New Mexico. Intrepid Potash generates revenue through...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 54.43M provides robust 14.67x coverage of total debt 3.71M, indicating excellent debt servicing capability and financial flexibility.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 597.35M provides 160.97x coverage of total debt 3.71M, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Operating cash flow of 54.43M provides exceptional 170.63x coverage of interest expenses 319000, showing strong debt service capability.
  • Operating cash flow of 54.43M provides strong 11.78x coverage of stock compensation 4.62M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Tangible assets of 597.35M provide exceptional 13.64x coverage of deferred revenue 43.80M, showing strong service capability backing.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 54.43M barely covers its investment activities of (15.21M), with a coverage ratio of -3.58, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 54.43M provides insufficient coverage of deferred revenue obligations of 43.80M, which is 1.24x, raising concerns about future service delivery capabilities.
  • Operating cash flow of 54.43M provides minimal 0.28x coverage of tax expenses of 195.91M, suggesting potential tax planning inefficiencies or unsustainable tax positions.
  • Operating earnings of 793000 show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 40.24M, with a 0.02 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.
  • Free cash flow of 34.18M represents just -34.28x of debt issuance (997000), suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Product and Service Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Agricultural Inputs
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 CTVA Corteva, Inc. 51.66 Bn 47.22 2.97 2.58 Bn
2 NTR Nutrien Ltd. 33.97 Bn 18.78 1.28 14.18 Bn
3 CF CF Industries Holdings, Inc. 24.01 Bn 17.27 5.06 3.40 Bn
4 MOS Mosaic Co 11.47 Bn 12.98 1.20 4.57 Bn
5 ICL ICL Group Ltd. 7.35 Bn 19.93 1.04 2.68 Bn
6 SMG Scotts Miracle-Gro Co 4.04 Bn 45.09 1.21 2.53 Bn
7 FMC Fmc Corp 1.81 Bn 1.37 0.40 4.58 Bn
8 UAN Cvr Partners, Lp 1.13 Bn 13.61 1.94 0.57 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.56 0.81
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 6.32 10.02
EV to Debt EV to Debt 92.73 10.62
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 433.96 46.09
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 8.57 7.11
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 10.07 9.01
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 0.81 1.48
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 1.24 1.04
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 0.87 0.69
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E -2.18 13.22
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 0.00 1.10
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 28.62
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 1.49
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 2.06
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 2.49 3.21
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) 41.30 10,378.95
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 102.99 20.72
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 -0.75
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -658.89 -98.96
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 328.57 -212.56
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 101.46 -25.56
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 100.87 257.67
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -350.45 -169.70
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -2.45 -105.41
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 77.03 14.76
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.45 0.49
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.00
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 1.83 0.66
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 5.24 1.99
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.01 0.09
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 2.49 3.21
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 2.49 3.21
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 14.70 -162.19
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 0.28 -175.66
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 0.17 -244.07
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 16.80 32.49
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) -70.20 -252.26