Taylor Morrison Home Corp (NYSE: TMHC)

Sector: Consumer Cyclical Industry: Residential Construction CIK: 0001562476
Market Cap 6.86 Bn
P/B 1.11
P/E 8.06
P/S 0.82
ROIC (Qtr) 10.45
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) -1.18
Total Debt (Qtr) 2.26 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.37
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About

Taylor Morrison Home Corporation (TMHC) is a prominent player in the United States homebuilding industry, known for its commitment to responsible land stewardship and customer experience. The company's diverse portfolio includes single-family detached and attached homes, multi-family properties, and a Build-to-Rent business under the brand name Yardly. TMHC's primary business activities revolve around land development and homebuilding, with operations spanning across the United States. The company's commitment to responsible land stewardship is...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Operating cash flow of 609.16M provides strong 21.93x coverage of stock compensation 27.78M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Operating cash flow of 609.16M provides exceptional 83.99x coverage of minority interest expenses 7.25M, showing strong core operations.
  • Operating cash flow of 609.16M provides exceptional 14.86x coverage of interest expenses 40.98M, showing strong debt service capability.
  • Robust free cash flow of 569.86M exceeds capital expenditure of 39.30M by 14.50x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 8.96B provides 3.96x coverage of total debt 2.26B, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 609.16M barely covers its investment activities of (138.03M), with a coverage ratio of -4.41, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • With cash reserves of 370.92M against inventory of 6.40B, the 0.06 cash-to-inventory ratio suggests potential liquidity risks if inventory turnover slows, particularly concerning given current supply chain volatilities.
  • Operating cash flow of 609.16M is outpaced by equity issuance of (397.76M) (-1.53 ratio), indicating concerning reliance on equity markets for funding operations.
  • R&D investment of 0 represents just 0x of SG&A expenses of 744.63M, indicating potential underinvestment in innovation relative to administrative overhead.
  • Cash position of 370.92M provides minimal 0.50x coverage of SG&A expenses of 744.63M, indicating potential operational inflexibility in market downturns.

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Residential Construction
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 DHI Horton D R Inc /De/ 56.51 Bn 105.92 7.04 5.55 Bn
2 TOL Toll Brothers, Inc. 29.11 Bn 76.92 7.08 2.79 Bn
3 PHM Pultegroup Inc/Mi/ 28.02 Bn 12.63 1.62 2.16 Bn
4 LEN Lennar Corp /New/ 23.56 Bn -229.13 7.79 4.08 Bn
5 NVR Nvr Inc 21.52 Bn 16.06 2.13 1.05 Bn
6 IBP Installed Building Products, Inc. 8.62 Bn -487.54 19.34 0.99 Bn
7 TMHC Taylor Morrison Home Corp 6.86 Bn 8.06 0.82 2.26 Bn
8 MTH Meritage Homes CORP 5.67 Bn 12.52 0.97 1.83 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.92 1.47
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 14.60 43.01
EV to Debt EV to Debt 3.93 37.82
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 7.70 48.76
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 7.38 112.58
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 15.61 11.82
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.30 1.26
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 1.06 3.28
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 1.11 9.23
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 8.06 -14.72
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Dividend Coverage Ratio 0.00 8.23
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 6.29
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.54
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 96.10
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 28.19 142.03
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -210.57 27.50
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 44.16 196.58
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 4.02
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 7.77 -29.39
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 9.25 -30.05
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 7.11 -31.27
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 3.97 -32.05
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 9.74 -25.62
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 3,754.59 341.90
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 3.09 -14.63
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.87 1.00
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.13
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio 0.00 0.23
Current Ratio Current Ratio 0.00 0.81
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.37 0.58
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 28.19 142.03
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 28.19 142.03
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 14.30 10.57
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 13.79 9.64
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 13.30 9.44
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 23.50 22.26
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 10.20 7.17