Lennar Corp /New/ (NYSE: LEN)

Sector: Consumer Cyclical Industry: Residential Construction CIK: 0000920760
Market Cap 23.56 Bn
P/B 9.52
P/E -229.13
P/S 7.79
ROIC (Qtr) 7.43
Div Yield % 0.54
Rev 1y % (Qtr) -5.82
Total Debt (Qtr) 4.08 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.19
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About

Lennar Corporation, commonly known as LEN, is a prominent player in the real estate industry, with a diverse range of operations that include homebuilding, financial services, multifamily, and strategic technology investments. The company's roots trace back to 1954, and over the years, it has grown into a multifaceted organization with a significant presence in the United States. Lennar's primary business activities revolve around homebuilding, which contributes to approximately 95% of its consolidated revenues. The company constructs single-family...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong tangible asset base of 30.99B provides 7.59x coverage of total debt 4.08B, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Cash position of 3.47B provides exceptional 115.11x coverage of minority interest expenses 30.12M, indicating strong liquidity.
  • Cash reserves of 3.47B provide ample 12.14x coverage of acquisition spending 285.72M, enabling strategic growth opportunities.
  • Operating cash flow of 216.81M provides strong 2.63x coverage of operating expenses 82.58M, showing operational efficiency.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 30.99B provides 108.46x coverage of acquisition spending 285.72M, enabling strategic growth.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 216.81M barely covers its investment activities of 221.57M, with a coverage ratio of 0.98, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • With cash reserves of 3.47B against inventory of 11.62B, the 0.30 cash-to-inventory ratio suggests potential liquidity risks if inventory turnover slows, particularly concerning given current supply chain volatilities.
  • Operating cash flow of 216.81M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (520.96M) with a -0.42 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • The company's operating cash flow of 216.81M shows concerning coverage of stock compensation expenses of 163.49M, with a 1.33 ratio indicating potential earnings quality issues.
  • Free cash flow of 28.18M provides weak coverage of capital expenditures of 188.63M, with a 0.15 ratio suggesting additional external financing needs for growth initiatives.

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2022)

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2022)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Residential Construction
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 DHI Horton D R Inc /De/ 56.51 Bn 105.92 7.04 5.55 Bn
2 TOL Toll Brothers, Inc. 29.11 Bn 76.92 7.08 2.79 Bn
3 PHM Pultegroup Inc/Mi/ 28.02 Bn 12.63 1.62 2.16 Bn
4 LEN Lennar Corp /New/ 23.56 Bn -229.13 7.79 4.08 Bn
5 NVR Nvr Inc 21.52 Bn 16.06 2.13 1.05 Bn
6 IBP Installed Building Products, Inc. 8.62 Bn -487.54 19.34 0.99 Bn
7 TMHC Taylor Morrison Home Corp 6.86 Bn 8.06 0.82 2.26 Bn
8 MTH Meritage Homes CORP 5.67 Bn 12.52 0.97 1.83 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.75 1.47
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 58.53 43.01
EV to Debt EV to Debt 6.34 37.82
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT -71.45 48.76
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA -107.09 112.58
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 58.52 11.82
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.10 1.26
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 8.57 3.28
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 9.52 9.23
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E -229.13 -14.72
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 3.99 8.23
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 25.10 6.29
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 2.00 0.54
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 1,801.80 96.10
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 0.00 142.03
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -9.99 27.50
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -25.83 196.58
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 33.33 4.02
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -47.15 -29.39
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -42.64 -30.05
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -45.94 -31.27
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -45.94 -32.05
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -44.23 -25.62
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -98.74 341.90
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) -38.40 -14.63
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.99 1.00
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 1.28 0.13
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio 0.00 0.23
Current Ratio Current Ratio 0.00 0.81
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.19 0.58
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 0.00 142.03
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 0.00 142.03
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 8.50 10.57
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 8.14 9.64
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 8.14 9.44
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 9.90 22.26
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 6.10 7.17