Pultegroup Inc/Mi/ (NYSE: PHM)

Sector: Consumer Cyclical Industry: Residential Construction CIK: 0000822416
Market Cap 28.02 Bn
P/B 2.16
P/E 12.63
P/S 1.62
ROIC (Qtr) 15.30
Div Yield % 0.65
Rev 1y % (Qtr) -6.32
Total Debt (Qtr) 2.16 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.17
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About

PulteGroup Inc., commonly referred to as PHM, operates in the homebuilding industry, with its common shares listed on the New York Stock Exchange. The company's main business activities involve the acquisition and development of land for residential purposes, as well as the construction of housing units. With a presence in 46 markets across 26 states, PulteGroup caters to first-time, move-up, and active adult homebuyers. PulteGroup's operations are divided into several segments, including Homebuilding Operations, Land Acquisition and Development,...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 1.87B provides robust 0.86x coverage of total debt 2.16B, indicating excellent debt servicing capability and financial flexibility.
  • Operating cash flow of 1.87B provides strong 34.13x coverage of stock compensation 54.82M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 17.98B provides 8.31x coverage of total debt 2.16B, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Robust free cash flow of 1.75B exceeds capital expenditure of 122.72M by 14.25x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Cash reserves of 2.01B provide ample 41.85x coverage of acquisition spending 48M, enabling strategic growth opportunities.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 1.87B barely covers its investment activities of (80.42M), with a coverage ratio of -23.27, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • With cash reserves of 2.01B against inventory of 12.93B, the 0.16 cash-to-inventory ratio suggests potential liquidity risks if inventory turnover slows, particularly concerning given current supply chain volatilities.
  • Operating cash flow of 1.87B provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (176.68M) with a -10.59 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Free cash flow of 1.75B represents just -75.50x of debt issuance (23.16M), suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.
  • Tax assets of 49.16M provide limited offset against tax liabilities of 448.49M, which is 0.11x, indicating potential future cash flow pressure from tax obligations.

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2025)

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2025)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Residential Construction
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 DHI Horton D R Inc /De/ 56.51 Bn 105.92 7.04 5.55 Bn
2 TOL Toll Brothers, Inc. 29.11 Bn 76.92 7.08 2.79 Bn
3 PHM Pultegroup Inc/Mi/ 28.02 Bn 12.63 1.62 2.16 Bn
4 LEN Lennar Corp /New/ 23.56 Bn -229.13 7.79 4.08 Bn
5 NVR Nvr Inc 21.52 Bn 16.06 2.13 1.05 Bn
6 IBP Installed Building Products, Inc. 8.62 Bn -487.54 19.34 0.99 Bn
7 TMHC Taylor Morrison Home Corp 6.86 Bn 8.06 0.82 2.26 Bn
8 MTH Meritage Homes CORP 5.67 Bn 12.52 0.97 1.83 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 1.58 1.47
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 15.27 43.01
EV to Debt EV to Debt 13.21 37.82
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 9.81 48.76
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 9.18 112.58
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 16.34 11.82
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.02 1.26
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 1.65 3.28
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 2.16 9.23
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 12.63 -14.72
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 12.56 8.23
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 8.20 6.29
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.92 0.54
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 10.42 96.10
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 0.00 142.03
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -3.52 27.50
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 21.47 196.58
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 12.20 4.02
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -28.04 -29.39
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -22.01 -30.05
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -27.32 -31.27
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -27.32 -32.05
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -24.36 -25.62
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 11.92 341.90
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) -12.42 -14.63
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.96 1.00
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.09 0.13
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio 0.00 0.23
Current Ratio Current Ratio 0.00 0.81
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.17 0.58
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 0.00 142.03
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 0.00 142.03
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 17.50 10.57
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 16.82 9.64
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 16.82 9.44
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 26.40 22.26
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 12.80 7.17