Prairie Operating Co. (NASDAQ: PROP)

Sector: Energy Industry: Oil & Gas E&P CIK: 0001162896
Market Cap 43.32 Mn
P/B 0.43
P/E -0.55
P/S 0.26
ROIC (Qtr) 9.26
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 0.00
Total Debt (Qtr) 420.50 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 4.13
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About

Prairie Operating Co., or PROP, is an independent company operating in the oil and gas industry, with a focus on the acquisition and development of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. The company is based in the Denver-Julesburg Basin in Colorado, an area known for its rich oil and gas reserves. Prairie Operating Co. primarily generates revenue through the exploration and production of crude oil and natural gas. These resources are extracted using a variety of techniques, including horizontal drilling and hydraulic fracturing. The...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Healthy cash reserves of 10.64M provide 14.21x coverage of short-term debt 749000, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Strong operating cash flow of 63.69M provides 1.60x coverage of SG&A expenses 39.93M, showing efficient operational cost management.
  • Strong free cash flow of (556.56M) provides 9.49x coverage of acquisition spending (58.63M), indicating disciplined M&A strategy.
  • Tangible assets of 939.79M provide robust 150.15x coverage of other current liabilities 6.26M, indicating strong asset backing.
  • Short-term investments of 13.13M provide solid 2.10x coverage of other current liabilities 6.26M, indicating strong liquidity.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 63.69M barely covers its investment activities of (677.96M), with a coverage ratio of -0.09, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Investment activities of (677.96M) provide weak support for R&D spending of 995215, which is -681.22x, suggesting potentially insufficient investment in innovation relative to other capital deployment.
  • Cash reserves of 10.64M provide limited coverage of acquisition spending of (58.63M), which is -0.18x, suggesting aggressive expansion might strain liquidity if market conditions deteriorate.
  • High receivables of 72.85M relative to inventory of 4.89M (14.90 ratio) suggests aggressive credit terms or collection difficulties, potentially masking revenue quality issues.
  • Free cash flow of (556.56M) provides weak coverage of capital expenditures of 620.25M, with a -0.90 ratio suggesting additional external financing needs for growth initiatives.

Product and Service Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Oil & Gas E&P
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 COP Conocophillips 136.62 Bn 17.10 2.22 23.44 Bn
2 CNQ Canadian Natural Resources Ltd 85.21 Bn 17.67 3.04 12.51 Bn
3 EOG Eog Resources Inc 66.33 Bn -60.48 8.67 8.13 Bn
4 FANG Diamondback Energy, Inc. 49.64 Bn -2,818.83 314.47 16.24 Bn
5 OXY Occidental Petroleum Corp /De/ 37.18 Bn 15.36 2.56 22.88 Bn
6 WDS Woodside Energy Group Ltd 34.64 Bn 11.73 2.51 -
7 TPL Texas Pacific Land Corp 29.74 Bn 126.16 78.66 0.02 Bn
8 DVN Devon Energy Corp/De 18.80 Bn 3.24 1.91 8.55 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.45 1.02
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 6.65 18.21
EV to Debt EV to Debt 1.01 54.57
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 9.83 29.98
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 5.47 19.64
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF -0.76 39.33
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 9.78 1.57
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 2.53 11.47
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 0.43 2.97
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E -0.55 -25.98
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) -0.78 26.80
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 31.86
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.78
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 1.05
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 2.08 -4.97
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -3,462.12 -533.65
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -73.43 52.06
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 -5.45
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 182.22 6.14
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 336.62 105.89
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 182.22 75.94
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 142.76 17.44
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 42.91 3.07
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -1,955.73 -43.36
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit Growth (1y) % 0.00 149.32
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.18 0.33
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.07
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.07 1.32
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 0.83 2.37
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 4.13 0.34
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 2.08 -4.97
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 2.08 -4.97
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 44.10 16.19
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 25.75 -16.83
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 13.39 -24.06
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 70.80 58.92
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) -47.50 -28.75