Pedevco Corp (NYSE: PED)

Sector: Energy Industry: Oil & Gas E&P CIK: 0001141197
Market Cap 47.94 Mn
P/B 0.42
P/E 11.80
P/S 1.44
ROIC (Qtr) -2.41
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) -23.08
Total Debt (Qtr) 257,000.00
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.00
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About

PEDEVCO Corp, known by its stock symbol PED, operates in the oil and gas industry, with a focus on the acquisition and development of oil and natural gas assets in the United States. The company's history dates back to September 2000, when it was incorporated as Rocker & Spike Entertainment, Inc., and has since undergone several name changes and transformations. PEDEVCO Corp's operations span across two major regions: the Permian Basin in Chaves and Roosevelt Counties, New Mexico, and the Denver-Julesberg Basin in Weld and Morgan Counties, Colorado,...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 17.12M provides robust 66.63x coverage of total debt 257000, indicating excellent debt servicing capability and financial flexibility.
  • Healthy cash reserves of 10.92M provide 61.36x coverage of short-term debt 178000, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 135.89M provides 528.75x coverage of total debt 257000, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Operating cash flow of 17.12M provides exceptional 167.88x coverage of interest expenses 102000, showing strong debt service capability.
  • Strong operating cash flow of 17.12M provides 2.45x coverage of SG&A expenses 6.98M, showing efficient operational cost management.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 17.12M barely covers its investment activities of (10.76M), with a coverage ratio of -1.59, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 17.12M provides minimal -2.19x coverage of tax expenses of (7.83M), suggesting potential tax planning inefficiencies or unsustainable tax positions.
  • Operating earnings of (3.67M) show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 16.50M, with a -0.22 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.
  • High depreciation of 16.50M relative to operating cash flow of 17.12M, which is 0.96x suggests significant maintenance capital requirements affecting free cash flow.
  • Operating cash flow of 17.12M barely covers operating expenses of 18.43M with a 0.93 ratio, suggesting thin operational efficiency margins and limited flexibility.

Legal Entity Breakdown of Revenue (2018)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Oil & Gas E&P
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 COP Conocophillips 136.62 Bn 17.10 2.22 23.44 Bn
2 CNQ Canadian Natural Resources Ltd 85.21 Bn 17.67 3.04 12.51 Bn
3 EOG Eog Resources Inc 66.33 Bn -60.48 8.67 8.13 Bn
4 FANG Diamondback Energy, Inc. 49.64 Bn -2,818.83 314.47 16.24 Bn
5 OXY Occidental Petroleum Corp /De/ 37.18 Bn 15.36 2.56 22.88 Bn
6 WDS Woodside Energy Group Ltd 34.64 Bn 11.73 2.51 -
7 TPL Texas Pacific Land Corp 29.74 Bn 126.16 78.66 0.02 Bn
8 DVN Devon Energy Corp/De 18.80 Bn 3.24 1.91 8.55 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.29 1.02
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 2.32 18.21
EV to Debt EV to Debt 154.77 54.57
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT -10.84 29.98
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 3.26 19.64
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 6.25 39.33
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 0.83 1.57
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 1.20 11.47
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 0.42 2.97
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 11.80 -25.98
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Dividend Coverage Ratio 0.00 26.80
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 31.86
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.78
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 1.05
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) -35.96 -4.97
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) 63.00 -533.65
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 136.46 52.06
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 -5.45
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 4.50 6.14
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -19.94 105.89
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -196.96 75.94
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -199.66 17.44
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 25.00 3.07
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 175.16 -43.36
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) -14.79 149.32
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.24 0.33
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.07
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.75 1.32
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 1.10 2.37
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.00 0.34
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) -35.96 -4.97
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) -35.96 -4.97
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 38.60 16.19
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) -11.03 -16.83
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) -11.34 -24.06
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 63.50 58.92
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 12.20 -28.75