Olaplex Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ: OLPX)

Sector: Consumer Cyclical Industry: Specialty Retail CIK: 0001868726
Market Cap 884.60 Mn
P/B 1.00
P/E -178.71
P/S 2.11
ROIC (Qtr) 1.50
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) -3.78
Total Debt (Qtr) 352.10 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.40
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About

Olaplex Holdings, Inc., also known as OLAPLEX, is a trailblazer in the beauty industry, specializing in innovative hair care products. The company's mission is to enhance hair health, and it achieves this through an omnichannel sales strategy that includes professional, specialty retail, and direct-to-consumer sales. OLAPLEX's primary business activities revolve around the development and sale of hair care products. These products are designed to address three key areas: treatment, maintenance, and protection. The current product portfolio consists...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Robust free cash flow of 72.42M exceeds capital expenditure of 3.22M by 22.47x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Retained earnings of 549.82M provide full 1.56x coverage of long-term debt 352.10M, indicating strong internal capital position.
  • Operating cash flow of 75.65M provides solid 0.67x coverage of current liabilities 113.68M, showing strong operational health.
  • Tangible assets of 485.14M provide robust 5.38x coverage of other current liabilities 90.18M, indicating strong asset backing.
  • Cash reserves of 286.38M provide robust 2.52x coverage of current liabilities 113.68M, indicating strong short-term solvency.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 75.65M barely covers its investment activities of (13.81M), with a coverage ratio of -5.48, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 75.65M provides minimal -14.19x coverage of tax expenses of (5.33M), suggesting potential tax planning inefficiencies or unsustainable tax positions.
  • Operating earnings of 38.39M show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 53.52M, with a 0.72 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.
  • Free cash flow of 72.42M represents just -0.24x of debt issuance (303.38M), suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.
  • High depreciation of 53.52M relative to operating cash flow of 75.65M, which is 0.71x suggests significant maintenance capital requirements affecting free cash flow.

Geographical Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Contract with Customer, Sales Channel Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Specialty Retail
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 ULTA Ulta Beauty, Inc. 32.20 Bn 27.06 2.69 2.57 Bn
2 WSM Williams Sonoma Inc 29.62 Bn 25.19 3.40 1.47 Bn
3 TSCO Tractor Supply Co /De/ 28.42 Bn 25.23 1.93 5.72 Bn
4 DKS Dick'S Sporting Goods, Inc. 24.98 Bn 88.10 4.64 7.70 Bn
5 CASY Caseys General Stores Inc 24.65 Bn 59.49 1.65 2.92 Bn
6 BBY Best Buy Co Inc 17.85 Bn 11.66 0.41 4.09 Bn
7 MUSA Murphy USA Inc. 15.91 Bn 61.33 1.35 2.75 Bn
8 FIVE Five Below, Inc 11.68 Bn 37.94 2.64 2.01 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.63 2.23
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 12.55 14.70
EV to Debt EV to Debt 2.70 79.39
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 24.72 -40.16
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 13.95 11.51
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 13.10 -286.14
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.07 6.33
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 2.27 2.39
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 1.00 32.78
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E -178.71 -36.32
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Dividend Coverage Ratio 0.00 -4.05
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 14.19
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.71
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 18.58
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 0.79 4.43
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) 21.02 13.87
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -46.85 33.75
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 0.00
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -79.06 -272.99
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -49.21 588.45
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -66.43 29.27
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -118.71 -92.23
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 0.00 -121.86
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -47.66 71.80
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) -4.41 2.50
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.28 1.24
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.04
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 2.52 0.74
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 4.16 3.56
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.40 25.92
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 0.79 4.43
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 0.79 4.43
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 22.00 -42.64
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 9.17 -131.12
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) -2.46 -64.70
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 69.00 30.93
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) -1.20 -65.71