Murphy USA Inc. (NYSE: MUSA)

Sector: Consumer Cyclical Industry: Specialty Retail CIK: 0001573516
Market Cap 15.91 Bn
P/B 20.99
P/E 61.33
P/S 1.35
ROIC (Qtr) 16.23
Div Yield % 0.16
Rev 1y % (Qtr) -2.45
Total Debt (Qtr) 2.75 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 5.04
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About

Murphy USA Inc., commonly referred to as MUSA, is a prominent player in the retail industry of the United States, specializing in motor fuel and convenience merchandise. The company boasts an extensive network of over 1,733 retail stores spread across 27 states, with a significant presence in the Southeast, Southwest, and Midwest regions. At the heart of Murphy USA's business model is its low-price, high-volume strategy. This approach enables the company to generate attractive gross margins through its retail gasoline operations. The company's...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Healthy cash reserves of 42.80M provide 2.58x coverage of short-term debt 16.60M, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Strong operating cash flow of 817.10M provides 3.71x coverage of SG&A expenses 220.50M, showing efficient operational cost management.
  • Operating cash flow of 817.10M provides solid 0.87x coverage of current liabilities 940.20M, showing strong operational health.
  • Operating cash flow of 817.10M fully covers other non-current liabilities 453.50M by 1.80x, showing strong long-term stability.
  • Tangible assets of 4.21B provide robust 77.38x coverage of other current liabilities 54.40M, indicating strong asset backing.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 817.10M barely covers its investment activities of (446.10M), with a coverage ratio of -1.83, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • With cash reserves of 42.80M against inventory of 387.20M, the 0.11 cash-to-inventory ratio suggests potential liquidity risks if inventory turnover slows, particularly concerning given current supply chain volatilities.
  • Operating cash flow of 817.10M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (39.40M) with a -20.74 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Operating earnings of 710.80M show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 271.30M, with a 2.62 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.
  • High financing cash flow of (380.70M) relative to working capital of (176.90M), which is 2.15x suggests concerning dependence on external funding for operational needs.

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Specialty Retail
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 ULTA Ulta Beauty, Inc. 32.20 Bn 27.06 2.69 2.57 Bn
2 WSM Williams Sonoma Inc 29.62 Bn 25.19 3.40 1.47 Bn
3 TSCO Tractor Supply Co /De/ 28.42 Bn 25.23 1.93 5.72 Bn
4 DKS Dick'S Sporting Goods, Inc. 24.98 Bn 88.10 4.64 7.70 Bn
5 CASY Caseys General Stores Inc 24.65 Bn 59.49 1.65 2.92 Bn
6 BBY Best Buy Co Inc 17.85 Bn 11.66 0.41 4.09 Bn
7 MUSA Murphy USA Inc. 15.91 Bn 61.33 1.35 2.75 Bn
8 FIVE Five Below, Inc 11.68 Bn 37.94 2.64 2.01 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 3.48 2.23
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 53.06 14.70
EV to Debt EV to Debt 5.91 79.39
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 38.15 -40.16
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 41.65 11.51
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 101.91 -286.14
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.02 6.33
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 1.38 2.39
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 20.99 32.78
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 61.33 -36.32
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 11.96 -4.05
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 8.30 14.19
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 2.00 0.71
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 10.30 18.58
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 6.76 4.43
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -1.68 13.87
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -18.48 33.75
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 16.28 0.00
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -5.42 -272.99
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -1.96 588.45
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -7.48 29.27
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -9.63 -92.23
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -2.52 -121.86
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -14.42 71.80
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) -1.58 2.50
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 4.14 1.24
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.03 0.04
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.05 0.74
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 0.81 3.56
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 5.04 25.92
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 6.76 4.43
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 6.76 4.43
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 5.10 -42.64
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 3.67 -131.12
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 3.13 -64.70
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 6.30 30.93
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 2.40 -65.71