Tractor Supply
NASDAQ: TSCO
$30.43 ▲ +0.31  (+1.03%)
At close: Jul 10, 2026 · 4:00 PM UTC
Financial Ratios
Market Cap16.98 Bn
P/E20.39
P/S0.62
Div. Yield0.03
ROIC (Qtr)0.00
Total Debt (Qtr)2.13 Bn
Revenue Growth (1y) (Qtr)3.61
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About

Tractor Supply Company is the largest rural lifestyle retailer in the United States, catering to recreational farmers, ranchers, homesteaders, and pet owners who embrace the "Out Here" lifestyle. The company operates a network of retail stores under the Tractor Supply Company and Petsense by Tractor Supply banners, alongside robust e-commerce platforms including TractorSupply.com, Petsense.com, and Allivet.com. Its core business revolves around providing a curated assortment…

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Sector: Consumer Cyclical Industry: Specialty Retail CIK: 0000916365

Investment Thesis

▲ Bull case
  • New store expansion is delivering robust productivity with stores opening at a record pace and achieving sales in the 65 to 70% range of mature store levels which provides a reliable engine for top line growth that is not fully reflected in current guidance.
  • The localization initiative is already showing measurable benefits with over two hundred stores outperforming the fusion store base indicating that tailoring assortments to local demand can drive comparable store sales upside that management expects to scale further.
  • Digital sales continue to grow at double digit rates supported by investments in platform usability subscription offerings and order management improvements creating a high margin online channel that can offset softer in store traffic.
  • The Final Mile delivery network is being scaled rapidly with plans to add more than one hundred seventy five hubs this year enabling the company to capture large order demand that competitors cannot serve nationally and lowering cost to serve for bulky items.
  • The recent acquisition of VIP Petcare adds a leading mobile veterinary services platform that leverages existing store footprint Neighbor's Club loyalty and Allivet pharmacy capabilities creating a differentiated omnichannel pet health offering that could drive higher frequency and basket size.
▼ Bear case
  • Companion animal continues to be a structural headwind with dog ownership declining and the company over indexing in large dog formats while under indexing in cat and fresh premium nutrition which limits growth potential in a significant portion of the pet market.
  • New customer acquisition remains soft and is largely dependent on new store openings indicating that existing store traffic growth is stagnant and the company may struggle to grow comparables without relying on new square footage.
  • Although cannibalization is described as modest the accelerated opening of forty stores in a single quarter raises the risk that future store additions could begin to erode sales from nearby locations especially in markets where saturation is approaching.
  • Tariff related cost pressures remain a persistent margin drag and while management says impacts are contained any escalation in trade tensions could increase cost of goods sold and pressure gross margin beyond current expectations.
  • Oil price sensitivity is not fully quantified in guidance and if fuel prices remain elevated around one hundred dollars per barrel the increased transportation and freight costs could further erode SG&A leverage and compress operating margins.

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2025)

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2025)

Peer Comparison

Companies in the Specialty Retail
S.No. Ticker Company Market CapP/EP/STotal Debt (Qtr)
1 NAAS NaaS Technology Inc. 29.20 Bn559.631,632.00-
2 CASY Caseys General Stores Inc 28.94 Bn44.521.702.43 Bn
3 WSM Williams Sonoma Inc 27.71 Bn25.463.55-
4 DKS Dick'S Sporting Goods, Inc. 19.10 Bn22.501.111.91 Bn
5 TSCO Tractor Supply Co /De/ 16.98 Bn20.390.622.13 Bn
6 BBY Best Buy Co Inc 16.25 Bn14.250.391.17 Bn
7 MUSA Murphy USA Inc. 10.35 Bn18.690.532.16 Bn
8 FIVE Five Below, Inc 10.07 Bn28.072.11-