Murphy Oil Corp (NYSE: MUR)

Sector: Energy Industry: Oil & Gas E&P CIK: 0000717423
Market Cap 5.24 Bn
P/B 1.15
P/E 18.46
P/S 1.96
ROIC (Qtr) -11.17
Div Yield % 3.77
Rev 1y % (Qtr) -3.34
Total Debt (Qtr) 2.22 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.43
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About

Murphy Oil Corporation, a prominent player in the global oil and gas industry, is known by its ticker symbol MUR. The company operates in the United States, Canada, and various other countries, focusing on the exploration, production, and sale of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. Murphy Oil's primary business activities encompass the exploration and production of hydrocarbons in different regions, with a particular emphasis on the Gulf of Mexico and the Eagle Ford Shale area of South Texas in the United States, as well as British...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 1.43B provides robust 0.65x coverage of total debt 2.22B, indicating excellent debt servicing capability and financial flexibility.
  • Healthy cash reserves of 425.96M provide 2.01x coverage of short-term debt 211.69M, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Operating cash flow of 1.43B provides exceptional 12.24x coverage of interest expenses 116.96M, showing strong debt service capability.
  • Operating cash flow of 1.43B provides strong 32.90x coverage of stock compensation 43.51M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Strong operating cash flow of 1.43B provides 11.03x coverage of SG&A expenses 129.85M, showing efficient operational cost management.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 1.43B barely covers its investment activities of (1.03B), with a coverage ratio of -1.40, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Investment activities of (1.03B) provide weak support for R&D spending of 72.54M, which is -14.15x, suggesting potentially insufficient investment in innovation relative to other capital deployment.
  • Operating cash flow of 1.43B provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (183.55M) with a -7.80 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • High receivables of 283.74M relative to inventory of 62.15M (4.57 ratio) suggests aggressive credit terms or collection difficulties, potentially masking revenue quality issues.
  • Free cash flow of 405.44M provides weak coverage of capital expenditures of 1.03B, with a 0.40 ratio suggesting additional external financing needs for growth initiatives.

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Product and Service Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Oil & Gas E&P
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 COP Conocophillips 136.62 Bn 17.10 2.22 23.44 Bn
2 CNQ Canadian Natural Resources Ltd 85.21 Bn 17.67 3.04 12.51 Bn
3 EOG Eog Resources Inc 66.33 Bn -60.48 8.67 8.13 Bn
4 FANG Diamondback Energy, Inc. 49.64 Bn -2,818.83 314.47 16.24 Bn
5 OXY Occidental Petroleum Corp /De/ 37.18 Bn 15.36 2.56 22.88 Bn
6 WDS Woodside Energy Group Ltd 34.64 Bn 11.73 2.51 -
7 TPL Texas Pacific Land Corp 29.74 Bn 126.16 78.66 0.02 Bn
8 DVN Devon Energy Corp/De 18.80 Bn 3.24 1.91 8.55 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.89 1.02
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 7.47 18.21
EV to Debt EV to Debt 3.88 54.57
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 29.59 29.98
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 19.03 19.64
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF -73.37 39.33
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.64 1.57
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 3.23 11.47
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 1.15 2.97
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 18.46 -25.98
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 0.78 26.80
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 128.00 31.86
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 1.28 0.78
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 45.05 1.05
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 2.66 -4.97
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -12.80 -533.65
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 57.05 52.06
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 8.94 -5.45
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -58.02 6.14
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -19.19 105.89
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -52.38 75.94
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -65.79 17.44
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -67.95 3.07
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -56.34 -43.36
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) -15.98 149.32
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.28 0.33
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.07 0.07
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.50 1.32
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 0.94 2.37
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.43 0.34
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 2.66 -4.97
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 2.66 -4.97
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 45.70 16.19
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 11.25 -16.83
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 7.02 -24.06
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 62.80 58.92
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 5.20 -28.75