Merck & Co., Inc. (NYSE: MRK)

Sector: Healthcare Industry: Drug Manufacturers - General CIK: 0000310158
Market Cap 320.49 Bn
P/B 9.52
P/E 202.84
P/S 7.87
ROIC (Qtr) 20.93
Div Yield % 2.34
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 3.72
Total Debt (Qtr) 41.37 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.80

About

Merck & Co., Inc., often recognized by its stock symbol MRK, is a prominent player in the global healthcare industry. The company is renowned for its innovative health solutions, which include biologic therapies, vaccines, and animal health products. Merck's operations are divided into two primary segments: Pharmaceutical and Animal Health. The Pharmaceutical segment is a significant contributor to Merck's revenue. This segment focuses on human health pharmaceutical and vaccine products, which are primarily sold to drug wholesalers and retailers,...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 17.07B provides robust 0.41x coverage of total debt 41.37B, indicating excellent debt servicing capability and financial flexibility.
  • Healthy cash reserves of 18.17B provide 12.93x coverage of short-term debt 1.41B, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Operating cash flow of 17.07B provides exceptional 1706.50x coverage of minority interest expenses 10M, showing strong core operations.
  • Operating cash flow of 17.07B provides exceptional 13.41x coverage of interest expenses 1.27B, showing strong debt service capability.
  • Operating cash flow of 17.07B provides strong 21.28x coverage of stock compensation 802M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 17.07B barely covers its investment activities of (3.98B), with a coverage ratio of -4.28, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Investment activities of (3.98B) provide weak support for R&D spending of 16.49B, which is -0.24x, suggesting potentially insufficient investment in innovation relative to other capital deployment.
  • Operating cash flow of 17.07B provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (8.11B) with a -2.10 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Cash reserves of 18.17B provide limited coverage of acquisition spending of (2M), which is -9084.50x, suggesting aggressive expansion might strain liquidity if market conditions deteriorate.
  • Retained earnings of 72.23B provide limited buffer against comprehensive income items of (5.20B), which is -13.89x, indicating elevated exposure to market risks.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Drug Manufacturers - General
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 LLY ELI LILLY & Co 940.24 Bn 84.66 19.19 42.51 Bn
2 JNJ Johnson & Johnson 656.09 Bn 49.20 10.65 45.80 Bn
3 AMGN Amgen Inc 389.67 Bn 89.91 26.60 54.59 Bn
4 ABBV AbbVie Inc. 363.54 Bn 129.05 16.59 68.74 Bn
5 MRK Merck & Co., Inc. 320.49 Bn 202.84 7.87 41.37 Bn
6 NVS Novartis Ag 304.60 Bn 21.78 5.37 35.46 Bn
7 AZN Astrazeneca Plc 291.12 Bn 30.97 5.01 32.63 Bn
8 NVO Novo Nordisk A S 219.30 Bn 13.62 4.51 20.59 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 2.62 2.39
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 46.29 27.43
EV to Debt EV to Debt 8.19 6.41
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 51.36 29.56
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 34.70 21.95
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 63.67 39.77
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.06 1.28
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 8.32 7.09
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 9.52 12.10
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 202.84 73.51
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 2.35 0.92
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 42.80 65.92
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 3.24 2.81
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 61.95 37.42
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 18.13 20.26
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -17.29 -9.54
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 24.50 96.72
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 5.19 2.18
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 51.94 74.22
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 46.46 29.18
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 54.30 66.23
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 59.12 310.53
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 58.04 352.41
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -12.07 47.43
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 3.51 8.06
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.50 0.38
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.38 0.27
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.63 2.11
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 1.66 6.17
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.80 -0.40
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 18.13 20.26
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 18.13 20.26
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 43.00 -13.61
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 35.93 -10.56
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 33.95 -25.71
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 77.20 64.91
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 29.60 -34.99