LGI Homes
NASDAQ: LGIH
$60.16 ▲ +1.83  (+3.14%)
At close: Jul 24, 2026 · 3:59 PM UTC
Financial Ratios
Market Cap1.35 Bn
P/E19.09
P/S0.81
Div. Yield0.00
Total Debt (Qtr)1.71 Bn
Revenue Growth (1y) (Qtr)-9.02
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About

LGI Homes, Inc. is a home building company that designs constructs and sells new single family homes in markets across the United States. The company operates in states such as Texas Arizona Florida Georgia New Mexico Colorado North Carolina South Carolina Washington Tennessee Minnesota Oklahoma Alabama California Oregon Nevada West Virginia Virginia Pennsylvania Maryland Utah and others. Since beginning home building operations in 2003 LGI Homes has completed and closed…

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Sector: Consumer Cyclical Industry: Residential Construction CIK: 0001580670

Investment Thesis

▲ Bull case
  • The company reported a backlog of 1,699 homes at quarter end which is up 63% year over year and 22% sequentially marking the highest level since 2022. This growing backlog reflects not only higher order activity but also a shift toward selling homes further out in the construction cycle as buyers save for down payments and work on credit. The longer time to contract to close indicates that buyers are more committed and less likely to cancel once financing is secured. As a result the conversion of backlog to revenue should be smooth and provide a predictable earnings base for the coming quarters.
  • LGI Homes controls nearly 59,000 lots of which over 86% are owned and the majority are self developed positions that sit on the balance sheet. This self developed land allows the builder to capture the developer profit that would otherwise go to joint venture partners or land sellers. By owning the lot the company avoids profit sharing and reduces reliance on external parties whose priorities may diverge from long term value creation. As housing demand recovers the embedded land value should translate into higher gross margins and more stable profitability.
  • Geographic mix contributed to a nearly three% increase in average selling price during the quarter with strength in the West and Southeast regions where new communities are commanding higher prices. The company has shown ability to push pricing in select markets while still offering targeted incentives and financing help to keep homes affordable for entry level buyers. This dual approach supports both top line growth and margin preservation as higher ASPs flow through to revenue without eroding affordability. Over the full year the mix shift toward higher priced markets could help the company reach the upper end of its ASP guidance range.
  • The wholesale channel contributed 12.6% of closings in the quarter and the backlog contains over 400 wholesale related units up 70% from the prior year period. While wholesale activity was limited in the first quarter the existing backlog signals potential for increased volume as the wholesale market normalizes later in the year. Additionally the company generated other income of nearly five million dollars from the sale of leased homes finished lots and commercial land. This other income line is relatively stable and provides a non operating boost to earnings that is not fully captured in standard models.
  • Selling general and administrative expenses as a percentage of revenue fell to 18.9% in the quarter an improvement of 200 basis points year over year driven by lower advertising spend and greater efficiency in the sales organization. The company has been able to scale its sales force while keeping SG&A growth below revenue growth indicating operating leverage. Continued discipline in marketing and administrative costs should push the SG&A ratio toward the long term target range of 15 to 16%. As SG&A declines the incremental earnings flow through to EBITDA and net income enhancing shareholder returns.
▼ Bear case
  • The cancellation rate rose to 45.6% in the quarter primarily because buyers failed to qualify for financing which signals ongoing affordability strain in the entry level market. A high cancellation rate not only reduces net orders but also increases carrying costs as homes remain in inventory longer while the company works with prospects to improve credit or save for down payments. If mortgage rates stay elevated or rise further the share of buyers unable to secure loans could grow leading to even higher cancellations. This dynamic would pressure net order growth and could force the company to increase incentives thereby eroding margins.
  • Owned and controlled lots decreased to 59,028 at quarter end representing a 12.9% decline year over year and a 3% sequential drop indicating a more conservative land acquisition approach. While aligning land purchases with current sales trends helps avoid overbuilding it also reduces the pipeline of future communities that could support revenue growth. A thinner lot inventory may limit the company’s ability to open new communities quickly when demand rebounds thereby constraining upside. Over the longer term a restrained land strategy could cause LGI Homes to lose market share to competitors with more aggressive land positions.
  • The wholesale channel accounted for only 12.6% of closings in the quarter and the backlog contains just over 400 wholesale related units which is modest compared to the total backlog of 1,699 homes. Wholesale demand has been historically volatile and dependent on investor appetite for bulk home purchases which can wane quickly during periods of economic uncertainty. Relying on this channel for meaningful volume adds unpredictability to the order book and may result in periods of low activity that are hard to forecast. If the wholesale market does not recover as expected the company could miss its backlog growth targets and face pressure to push more spec sales at lower margins.
  • Management noted that lumber prices are beginning to move up and that house cost is unlikely to decline given current oil levels and broader input price pressures. Rising direct construction costs would compress gross margins unless the company can offset them through higher selling prices which may be difficult in price sensitive entry level markets. Although the company has benefited from self developed lot cost stability the upside from land is limited to the lot component of the home and does not shield against increases in stick built expenses. Continued cost inflation could force LGI Homes to rely more heavily on financing incentives thereby reducing profitability.
  • While SG&A as a percentage of revenue improved to 18.9% in the quarter the company attributed part of the gain to lower advertising spend which may not be sustainable if competitors increase their marketing efforts. A return to higher advertising intensity would push the SG&A ratio back upward eroding the operating leverage that has supported recent EBITDA growth. Furthermore the sales organization relies on a large team of over 400 agents whose compensation and training costs could rise as the market tightens. Any increase in personnel expenses would offset the benefits seen from advertising cuts and could limit further margin expansion.

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2025)

Product and Service Breakdown of Revenue (2025)

Peer Comparison

Companies in the Residential Construction
S.No. Ticker Company Market CapP/EP/STotal Debt (Qtr)
1 DHI Horton D R Inc /De/ 40.90 Bn12.751.237.11 Bn
2 PHM Pultegroup Inc/Mi/ 23.36 Bn12.381.421.82 Bn
3 LEN Lennar Corp /New/ 19.77 Bn9.890.600.69 Bn
4 NVR Nvr Inc 17.18 Bn13.871.750.91 Bn
5 TOL Toll Brothers, Inc. 15.08 Bn10.831.850.90 Bn
6 TMHC Taylor Morrison Home Corp 6.96 Bn10.260.910.79 Bn
7 IBP Installed Building Products, Inc. 5.97 Bn23.442.031.11 Bn
8 MTH Meritage Homes CORP 4.78 Bn12.51-3.491.81 Bn