Hovnanian Enterprises Inc (NYSE: HOV)

Sector: Consumer Cyclical Industry: Residential Construction CIK: 0000357294
Market Cap 870.58 Mn
P/B 1.05
P/E 16.37
P/S 0.29
ROIC (Qtr) 1.34
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) -16.51
Total Debt (Qtr) 1.17 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 1.41
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About

Hovnanian Enterprises, Inc., or HOV, is a prominent player in the American residential homebuilding and financial services industry. Established in 1959, the company has grown to become one of the nation's largest builders of residential homes, operating through two primary segments: homebuilding and financial services. The homebuilding operations of HOV are divided into three reportable segments: Northeast, Southeast, and West. These segments cater to a wide range of customers, including first-time buyers, move-up buyers, luxury buyers, active...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Operating cash flow of 188.28M provides strong 11.29x coverage of stock compensation 16.67M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Robust free cash flow of 167.99M exceeds capital expenditure of 20.29M by 8.28x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Operating cash flow of 188.28M provides strong 848.10x coverage of tax liabilities 222000, showing excellent fiscal position.
  • Cash reserves of 285.38M provide comfortable 1285.50x coverage of tax obligations 222000, showing strong fiscal management.
  • Operating cash flow of 188.28M exceeds receivables of 26.45M by 7.12x, demonstrating excellent collection efficiency.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 188.28M barely covers its investment activities of (66.01M), with a coverage ratio of -2.85, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • With cash reserves of 285.38M against inventory of 1.64B, the 0.17 cash-to-inventory ratio suggests potential liquidity risks if inventory turnover slows, particularly concerning given current supply chain volatilities.
  • Cash reserves of 285.38M provide limited coverage of acquisition spending of (45.72M), which is -6.24x, suggesting aggressive expansion might strain liquidity if market conditions deteriorate.
  • Free cash flow of 167.99M represents just -2.82x of debt issuance (59.67M), suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.
  • Operating cash flow of 188.28M barely covers operating expenses of (37.37M) with a -5.04 ratio, suggesting thin operational efficiency margins and limited flexibility.

Breakdown of Revenue (2025)

Breakdown of Revenue (2025)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Residential Construction
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 DHI Horton D R Inc /De/ 56.51 Bn 105.92 7.04 5.55 Bn
2 TOL Toll Brothers, Inc. 29.11 Bn 76.92 7.08 2.79 Bn
3 PHM Pultegroup Inc/Mi/ 28.02 Bn 12.63 1.62 2.16 Bn
4 LEN Lennar Corp /New/ 23.56 Bn -229.13 7.79 4.08 Bn
5 NVR Nvr Inc 21.52 Bn 16.06 2.13 1.05 Bn
6 IBP Installed Building Products, Inc. 8.62 Bn -487.54 19.34 0.99 Bn
7 TMHC Taylor Morrison Home Corp 6.86 Bn 8.06 0.82 2.26 Bn
8 MTH Meritage Homes CORP 5.67 Bn 12.52 0.97 1.83 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.71 1.47
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 9.90 43.01
EV to Debt EV to Debt 1.59 37.82
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 15.34 48.76
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 10.47 112.58
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 11.10 11.82
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 2.14 1.26
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 0.63 3.28
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 1.05 9.23
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 16.37 -14.72
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 4.98 8.23
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 6.29
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.54
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 96.10
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 3.43 142.03
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -23.42 27.50
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 31.00 196.58
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 4.02
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -66.04 -29.39
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -49.39 -30.05
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -65.06 -31.27
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -72.85 -32.05
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -76.89 -25.62
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 2,233.17 341.90
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) -25.54 -14.63
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 1.13 1.00
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.13
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio 0.00 0.23
Current Ratio Current Ratio 0.00 0.81
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 1.41 0.58
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 3.43 142.03
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 3.43 142.03
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 4.50 10.57
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 4.08 9.64
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 2.89 9.44
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 16.00 22.26
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 1.80 7.17