Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. (NYSE: GRNT)

Sector: Energy Industry: Oil & Gas E&P CIK: 0001928446
Market Cap 19.37 Mn
P/B 3.87
P/E 7.85
P/S 6.60
ROIC (Qtr) 6.11
Div Yield % 2.20
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 19.77
Total Debt (Qtr) 300.00 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.47
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About

Granite Ridge Resources, Inc., often referred to as GRNT, is a non-operated oil and gas exploration and production company that operates within the broader energy industry. The company's business model is centered on diversifying its assets and reducing overhead costs by investing in a portion of a larger number of high-graded wells drilled by proven public and private operators across various unconventional basins in the United States. Granite Ridge's main business activities involve the production and sale of oil and natural gas from its wells....

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 300.11M provides robust 1x coverage of total debt 300M, indicating excellent debt servicing capability and financial flexibility.
  • Operating cash flow of 300.11M provides exceptional 13.85x coverage of interest expenses 21.67M, showing strong debt service capability.
  • Strong operating cash flow of 300.11M provides 10.38x coverage of SG&A expenses 28.91M, showing efficient operational cost management.
  • Operating cash flow of 300.11M provides strong 99.97x coverage of stock compensation 3M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 1.13B provides 3.76x coverage of total debt 300M, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 300.11M barely covers its investment activities of (357.93M), with a coverage ratio of -0.84, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 300.11M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (57.63M) with a -5.21 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Cash reserves of 11.83M provide limited coverage of acquisition spending of 17.68M, which is 0.67x, suggesting aggressive expansion might strain liquidity if market conditions deteriorate.
  • Free cash flow of (80.59M) provides weak coverage of capital expenditures of 380.70M, with a -0.21 ratio suggesting additional external financing needs for growth initiatives.
  • Operating earnings of 70.25M show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 207.65M, with a 0.34 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Oil & Gas E&P
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 COP Conocophillips 136.62 Bn 17.10 2.22 23.44 Bn
2 CNQ Canadian Natural Resources Ltd 85.21 Bn 17.67 3.04 12.51 Bn
3 EOG Eog Resources Inc 66.33 Bn -60.48 8.67 8.13 Bn
4 FANG Diamondback Energy, Inc. 49.64 Bn -2,818.83 314.47 16.24 Bn
5 OXY Occidental Petroleum Corp /De/ 37.18 Bn 15.36 2.56 22.88 Bn
6 WDS Woodside Energy Group Ltd 34.64 Bn 11.73 2.51 -
7 TPL Texas Pacific Land Corp 29.74 Bn 126.16 78.66 0.02 Bn
8 DVN Devon Energy Corp/De 18.80 Bn 3.24 1.91 8.55 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.02 1.02
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 25.45 18.21
EV to Debt EV to Debt 0.06 54.57
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 7.36 29.98
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 10.38 19.64
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 2,794.84 39.33
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 0.95 1.57
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 6.30 11.47
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 3.87 2.97
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 7.85 -25.98
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 0.66 26.80
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 157.10 31.86
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.44 0.78
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) -71.20 1.05
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 3.24 -4.97
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -20.88 -533.65
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -48.78 52.06
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 0.00 -5.45
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -9.23 6.14
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 15.32 105.89
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -11.50 75.94
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -23.11 17.44
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -22.22 3.07
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -367.72 -43.36
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 17.37 149.32
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.40 0.33
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.08 0.07
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.15 1.32
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 1.41 2.37
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.47 0.34
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 3.24 -4.97
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 3.24 -4.97
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 61.60 16.19
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 15.57 -16.83
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 10.77 -24.06
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 77.00 58.92
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 8.40 -28.75