Frontdoor, Inc. (NASDAQ: FTDR)

Sector: Consumer Cyclical Industry: Personal Services CIK: 0001727263
Market Cap 4.22 Bn
P/B 13.36
P/E 16.06
P/S 2.07
ROIC (Qtr) 19.80
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 14.44
Total Debt (Qtr) 1.20 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 3.79
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About

Frontdoor, Inc., with ticker symbol FTDR, is a prominent player in the home warranty industry in the United States. The company primarily operates under the American Home Shield brand, offering customizable home warranties that help customers protect and maintain their homes from costly and unplanned breakdowns of essential home systems and appliances. Frontdoor's main business activities revolve around the provision of home warranty products and on-demand home services. The company's home warranty products cover the repair or replacement of major...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Healthy cash reserves of 563M provide 19.41x coverage of short-term debt 29M, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Operating cash flow of 373M provides strong 12.03x coverage of stock compensation 31M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Robust free cash flow of 345M exceeds capital expenditure of 28M by 12.32x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Operating cash flow of 373M provides solid 0.93x coverage of current liabilities 401M, showing strong operational health.
  • Cash reserves of 563M provide robust 1.40x coverage of current liabilities 401M, indicating strong short-term solvency.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 373M barely covers its investment activities of (554M), with a coverage ratio of -0.67, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Cash reserves of 563M provide limited coverage of acquisition spending of (580M), which is -0.97x, suggesting aggressive expansion might strain liquidity if market conditions deteriorate.
  • Operating cash flow of 373M provides insufficient coverage of deferred revenue obligations of 352M, which is 1.06x, raising concerns about future service delivery capabilities.
  • High financing cash flow of 368M relative to working capital of 294M, which is 1.25x suggests concerning dependence on external funding for operational needs.
  • Operating cash flow of 373M is outpaced by equity issuance of (236M) (-1.58 ratio), indicating concerning reliance on equity markets for funding operations.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Personal Services
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 ROL Rollins Inc 29.03 Bn 55.12 7.72 1.04 Bn
2 SCI Service Corp International 11.40 Bn 21.01 2.65 5.14 Bn
3 HRB H&R Block Inc 4.26 Bn 6.94 1.12 2.94 Bn
4 FTDR Frontdoor, Inc. 4.22 Bn 16.06 2.07 1.20 Bn
5 BFAM Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc. 3.89 Bn 19.41 1.35 1.75 Bn
6 CSV Carriage Services Inc 0.80 Bn 65.55 3.90 0.56 Bn
7 EM Smart Share Global Ltd 0.26 Bn -141.13 1.01 -
8 MED Medifast Inc 0.12 Bn -6.35 0.31 0.01 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 2.18 1.18
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 13.04 11.38
EV to Debt EV to Debt 4.06 3.64
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 11.75 -48.48
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 10.27 6.52
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 14.10 8.27
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.15 3.43
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 2.38 1.80
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 13.36 3.15
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 16.06 2.58
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Dividend Coverage Ratio 0.00 -5.41
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 -14.53
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.26
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 9.14
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 5.91 0.71
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) 30.00 13.49
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 50.13 44.85
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 0.63
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 19.98 -83.44
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 28.46 1.88
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 16.95 -59.36
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 9.55 -71.50
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 17.70 -98.14
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 46.81 -22.56
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 15.19 9.00
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.92 0.58
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.05
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 1.40 1.89
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 1.73 3.01
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 3.79 1.99
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 5.91 0.71
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 5.91 0.71
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 24.00 7.38
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 20.26 0.88
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 16.84 -9.97
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 55.30 31.03
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 12.90 -8.73