Epsilon Energy Ltd. (NASDAQ: EPSN)

Sector: Energy Industry: Oil & Gas E&P CIK: 0001726126
Market Cap 101.69 Mn
P/B 1.02
P/E 19.16
P/S 3.37
ROIC (Qtr) 5.96
Div Yield % 6.52
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 23.24
Total Debt (Qtr) 387,062.00
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.00
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About

Epsilon Energy Ltd., or EPSN, is a company that operates in the natural gas and oil industry. Specifically, it is an independent North American onshore company focused on the acquisition, development, gathering, and production of natural gas and oil reserves. Epsilon's operations are based in the Marcellus Shale section of the Appalachian Basin in Pennsylvania, the Permian Basin in Texas and New Mexico, and the NW Anadarko Basin in Oklahoma. The company's main business activities involve the exploration and production of natural resources. Epsilon's...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 25.91M provides robust 66.93x coverage of total debt 387062, indicating excellent debt servicing capability and financial flexibility.
  • Healthy cash reserves of 12.77M provide 105.68x coverage of short-term debt 120799, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 126.29M provides 326.29x coverage of total debt 387062, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Operating cash flow of 25.91M provides exceptional 1325.85x coverage of interest expenses 19539, showing strong debt service capability.
  • Operating cash flow of 25.91M provides strong 17.89x coverage of stock compensation 1.45M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 25.91M barely covers its investment activities of (15.98M), with a coverage ratio of -1.62, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 25.91M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (5.50M) with a -4.71 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Operating earnings of 10.73M show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 12.31M, with a 0.87 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.
  • High depreciation of 12.31M relative to operating cash flow of 25.91M, which is 0.48x suggests significant maintenance capital requirements affecting free cash flow.
  • Retained earnings of (39M) provide limited buffer against comprehensive income items of 9.86M, which is -3.95x, indicating elevated exposure to market risks.

Product and Service Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Product and Service Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Oil & Gas E&P
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 COP Conocophillips 136.62 Bn 17.10 2.22 23.44 Bn
2 CNQ Canadian Natural Resources Ltd 85.21 Bn 17.67 3.04 12.51 Bn
3 EOG Eog Resources Inc 66.33 Bn -60.48 8.67 8.13 Bn
4 FANG Diamondback Energy, Inc. 49.64 Bn -2,818.83 314.47 16.24 Bn
5 OXY Occidental Petroleum Corp /De/ 37.18 Bn 15.36 2.56 22.88 Bn
6 WDS Woodside Energy Group Ltd 34.64 Bn 11.73 2.51 -
7 TPL Texas Pacific Land Corp 29.74 Bn 126.16 78.66 0.02 Bn
8 DVN Devon Energy Corp/De 18.80 Bn 3.24 1.91 8.55 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.79 1.02
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 5.86 18.21
EV to Debt EV to Debt 258.15 54.57
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 13.35 29.98
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 7.27 19.64
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF -5.70 39.33
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 0.98 1.57
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 3.31 11.47
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 1.02 2.97
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 19.16 -25.98
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 1.07 26.80
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 92.60 31.86
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.25 0.78
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 55.43 1.05
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 549.19 -4.97
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) 53.82 -533.65
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 53.72 52.06
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 0.00 -5.45
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 10.77 6.14
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 47.94 105.89
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 50.56 75.94
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 51.22 17.44
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 8.00 3.07
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 152.47 -43.36
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 59.62 149.32
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.36 0.33
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.13 0.07
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 1.29 1.32
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 1.93 2.37
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.00 0.34
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 549.19 -4.97
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 549.19 -4.97
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 50.40 16.19
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 23.48 -16.83
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 23.43 -24.06
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 74.50 58.92
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 12.90 -28.75