Cavco Industries, Inc. (NASDAQ: CVCO)

Sector: Consumer Cyclical Industry: Residential Construction CIK: 0000278166
Market Cap 4.63 Bn
P/B 4.25
P/E 25.11
P/S 2.10
ROIC (Qtr) 14.74
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 11.29
Total Debt (Qtr) 34.07 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.03
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About

Cavco Industries, Inc. (CVCO), a prominent player in the manufacturing sector, specializes in the design and production of factory-built homes, park model RVs, vacation cabins, and commercial structures. The company's operations span across the United States and Mexico, with a robust network of independent and company-owned retailers, planned community operators, and residential developers. Cavco Industries' primary business activities involve the creation of factory-built homes, which are then distributed through a wide network of retailers, community...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 238.76M provides robust 7.01x coverage of total debt 34.06M, indicating excellent debt servicing capability and financial flexibility.
  • Operating cash flow of 238.76M provides exceptional 430.98x coverage of interest expenses 554000, showing strong debt service capability.
  • Operating cash flow of 238.76M provides strong 19.42x coverage of stock compensation 12.29M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 1.24B provides 36.28x coverage of total debt 34.06M, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Robust free cash flow of 205.41M exceeds capital expenditure of 33.35M by 6.16x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 238.76M barely covers its investment activities of (209.83M), with a coverage ratio of -1.14, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Cash reserves of 242.47M provide limited coverage of acquisition spending of (171.45M), which is -1.41x, suggesting aggressive expansion might strain liquidity if market conditions deteriorate.
  • Free cash flow of 205.41M represents just -877.83x of debt issuance (234000), suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.
  • Operating cash flow of 238.76M is outpaced by equity issuance of (159.89M) (-1.49 ratio), indicating concerning reliance on equity markets for funding operations.
  • R&D investment of 0 represents just 0x of SG&A expenses of 300.23M, indicating potential underinvestment in innovation relative to administrative overhead.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Residential Construction
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 DHI Horton D R Inc /De/ 56.51 Bn 105.92 7.04 5.55 Bn
2 TOL Toll Brothers, Inc. 29.11 Bn 76.92 7.08 2.79 Bn
3 PHM Pultegroup Inc/Mi/ 28.02 Bn 12.63 1.62 2.16 Bn
4 LEN Lennar Corp /New/ 23.56 Bn -229.13 7.79 4.08 Bn
5 NVR Nvr Inc 21.52 Bn 16.06 2.13 1.05 Bn
6 IBP Installed Building Products, Inc. 8.62 Bn -487.54 19.34 0.99 Bn
7 TMHC Taylor Morrison Home Corp 6.86 Bn 8.06 0.82 2.26 Bn
8 MTH Meritage Homes CORP 5.67 Bn 12.52 0.97 1.83 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 2.89 1.47
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 17.85 43.01
EV to Debt EV to Debt 125.08 37.82
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 18.24 48.76
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 17.95 112.58
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 20.74 11.82
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 0.92 1.26
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 1.93 3.28
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 4.25 9.23
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 25.11 -14.72
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Dividend Coverage Ratio 0.00 8.23
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 6.29
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.54
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 96.10
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 421.71 142.03
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -75.65 27.50
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -35.96 196.58
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 4.02
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 9.28 -29.39
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 13.99 -30.05
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 10.34 -31.27
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 10.42 -32.05
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 13.54 -25.62
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 47.31 341.90
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 15.04 -14.63
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 1.50 1.00
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.13
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.74 0.23
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 2.49 0.81
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.03 0.58
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 421.71 142.03
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 421.71 142.03
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 11.60 10.57
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 10.61 9.64
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 10.58 9.44
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 23.40 22.26
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 8.40 7.17