Academy Sports & Outdoors, Inc. (NASDAQ: ASO)

Sector: Consumer Cyclical Industry: Specialty Retail CIK: 0001817358
Market Cap 4.57 Bn
P/B 2.55
P/E 8.99
P/S 0.75
ROIC (Qtr) 9.53
Div Yield % 0.79
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 3.00
Total Debt (Qtr) 1.87 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.87
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About

Academy Sports + Outdoors, Inc., commonly known as Academy Sports, is a leading full-line sporting goods and outdoor recreation retailer in the United States. The company operates in the retail industry, specifically in the sporting goods and outdoor recreation segment. Academy Sports was established in 1938 as a family business in Texas and has since grown to operate 282 stores across 18 contiguous states. Academy Sports + Outdoors offers a diverse range of products and services to its customers. These include outdoor gear, apparel, sports equipment,...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Healthy cash reserves of 289.49M provide 2.27x coverage of short-term debt 127.69M, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Operating cash flow of 425.24M provides strong 14.68x coverage of stock compensation 28.96M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Operating cash flow of 425.24M provides exceptional 11.74x coverage of interest expenses 36.22M, showing strong debt service capability.
  • Operating cash flow of 425.24M fully covers other non-current liabilities 299.35M by 1.42x, showing strong long-term stability.
  • Robust tangible asset base of 3.97B provides 4.58x coverage of working capital 866.54M, indicating strong operational backing.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 425.24M barely covers its investment activities of (215.70M), with a coverage ratio of -1.97, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • With cash reserves of 289.49M against inventory of 1.70B, the 0.17 cash-to-inventory ratio suggests potential liquidity risks if inventory turnover slows, particularly concerning given current supply chain volatilities.
  • Operating cash flow of 425.24M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (33.65M) with a -12.64 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Cash position of 289.49M provides weak coverage of payables of 793.56M, which is 0.36x, indicating potential working capital stress and supplier relationship risks.
  • Free cash flow of 210.31M represents just -70.10x of debt issuance (3M), suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Specialty Retail
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 ULTA Ulta Beauty, Inc. 32.20 Bn 27.06 2.69 2.57 Bn
2 WSM Williams Sonoma Inc 29.62 Bn 25.19 3.40 1.47 Bn
3 TSCO Tractor Supply Co /De/ 28.42 Bn 25.23 1.93 5.72 Bn
4 DKS Dick'S Sporting Goods, Inc. 24.98 Bn 88.10 4.64 7.70 Bn
5 CASY Caseys General Stores Inc 24.65 Bn 59.49 1.65 2.92 Bn
6 BBY Best Buy Co Inc 17.85 Bn 11.66 0.41 4.09 Bn
7 MUSA Murphy USA Inc. 15.91 Bn 61.33 1.35 2.75 Bn
8 FIVE Five Below, Inc 11.68 Bn 37.94 2.64 2.01 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 1.11 2.23
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 11.07 14.70
EV to Debt EV to Debt 3.22 79.39
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 8.56 -40.16
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 7.62 11.51
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 16.49 -286.14
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.32 6.33
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 0.99 2.39
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 2.55 32.78
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 8.99 -36.32
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 11.20 -4.05
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 9.00 14.19
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.50 0.71
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 15.84 18.58
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 14.45 4.43
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -12.15 13.87
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -2.20 33.75
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 19.05 0.00
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -16.42 -272.99
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -9.76 588.45
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -16.18 29.27
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -16.60 -92.23
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -10.45 -121.86
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -51.21 71.80
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 0.05 2.50
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 1.11 1.24
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.05 0.04
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.24 0.74
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 1.71 3.56
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.87 25.92
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 14.45 4.43
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 14.45 4.43
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 11.50 -42.64
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 8.71 -131.12
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 8.10 -64.70
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 34.40 30.93
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 6.30 -65.71