Target Corp (NYSE: TGT)

Sector: Consumer Defensive Industry: Discount Stores CIK: 0000027419
Market Cap 61.67 Bn
P/B 5.46
P/E 21.00
P/S 0.82
ROIC (Qtr) 11.77
Div Yield % 3.16
Rev 1y % (Qtr) -1.55
Total Debt (Qtr) 20.04 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 1.29
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About

Target Corporation, known by its stock symbol TGT, is a prominent player in the retail industry. Established in 1902, the company has its headquarters in Minneapolis, Minnesota, and is renowned for its purpose of bringing joy to everyday life for families by providing a wide array of products and services at discounted prices. Target's operations span across a single segment, designed to facilitate seamless purchasing for customers, whether in-store or through digital channels. The company's strategy hinges on delighting customers with freshness,...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Healthy cash reserves of 3.82B provide 3.37x coverage of short-term debt 1.13B, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 59.99B provides 2.99x coverage of total debt 20.04B, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Operating cash flow of 6.77B provides strong 24.90x coverage of stock compensation 272M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Operating cash flow of 6.77B provides exceptional 15.50x coverage of interest expenses 437M, showing strong debt service capability.
  • Tangible assets of 59.99B provide robust 9.50x coverage of other current liabilities 6.32B, indicating strong asset backing.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 6.77B barely covers its investment activities of (3.71B), with a coverage ratio of -1.83, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • With cash reserves of 3.82B against inventory of 14.90B, the 0.26 cash-to-inventory ratio suggests potential liquidity risks if inventory turnover slows, particularly concerning given current supply chain volatilities.
  • Operating cash flow of 6.77B provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (2.05B) with a -3.30 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Operating earnings of 5.30B show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 3.10B, with a 1.71 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.
  • High financing cash flow of (2.68B) relative to working capital of (540M), which is 4.96x suggests concerning dependence on external funding for operational needs.

Product and Service Breakdown of Revenue (2025)

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2025)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Discount Stores
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 WMT Walmart Inc. 1,493.21 Bn 103.91 3.66 68.42 Bn
2 COST Costco Wholesale Corp /New 443.66 Bn 356.36 5.82 8.10 Bn
3 TGT Target Corp 61.67 Bn 21.00 0.82 20.04 Bn
4 DG Dollar General Corp 32.90 Bn 23.24 0.83 16.51 Bn
5 DLTR Dollar Tree, Inc. 27.88 Bn -9.55 1.47 7.66 Bn
6 BJ BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. 13.09 Bn 22.76 0.62 2.70 Bn
7 OLLI Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. 6.85 Bn 30.61 2.70 0.67 Bn
8 PSMT Pricesmart Inc 4.69 Bn 31.14 0.87 0.33 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 1.24 2.61
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 12.48 36.59
EV to Debt EV to Debt 3.72 13.49
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 17.99 37.61
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 11.32 35.41
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 29.32 66.89
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.21 1.06
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 0.99 2.05
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 5.46 12.39
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 21.00 59.65
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 1.84 2,558.05
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 54.30 19.94
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 4.52 1.57
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 68.13 21.35
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 12.13 12.56
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -33.38 -8.17
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 11.33 36.06
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 1.80 -7.48
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -12.77 -44.54
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -6.81 0.21
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -12.64 -49.73
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -13.76 -68.31
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -12.57 -17.04
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -33.77 37.06
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) -3.89 10.99
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 1.75 1.82
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.19 0.07
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.18 0.20
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 0.98 1.14
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 1.29 1.24
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 12.13 12.56
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 12.13 12.56
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 8.00 4.61
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 5.04 0.99
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 4.62 2.30
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 27.70 24.97
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 3.60 1.03