Costco Wholesale Corp /New (NASDAQ: COST)

Sector: Consumer Defensive Industry: Discount Stores CIK: 0000909832
Market Cap 443.66 Bn
P/B 40.80
P/E 356.36
P/S 5.82
ROIC (Qtr) 21.79
Div Yield % 0.20
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 8.30
Total Debt (Qtr) 8.10 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.27
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About

Costco Wholesale Corporation, commonly known as Costco, is a multinational retail corporation that operates a chain of membership-only warehouse clubs. The company, founded in 1983 in Seattle, Washington, has grown to become one of the world's largest retailers, with over 861 warehouses spread across countries including the United States, Canada, Mexico, Japan, the United Kingdom, Korea, Australia, Taiwan, China, Spain, France, Iceland, New Zealand, and Sweden. Costco's main business activities revolve around its membership warehouses, which offer...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 14.76B provides robust 1.82x coverage of total debt 8.10B, indicating excellent debt servicing capability and financial flexibility.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 82.79B provides 10.22x coverage of total debt 8.10B, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Operating cash flow of 14.76B provides exceptional 97.12x coverage of interest expenses 152M, showing strong debt service capability.
  • Operating cash flow of 14.76B provides strong 16.72x coverage of stock compensation 883M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Tangible assets of 82.79B provide exceptional 27.69x coverage of deferred revenue 2.99B, showing strong service capability backing.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 14.76B barely covers its investment activities of (5.72B), with a coverage ratio of -2.58, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 14.76B provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (2.25B) with a -6.58 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Free cash flow of 9B represents just -37.99x of debt issuance (237M), suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.
  • Retained earnings of 23.87B provide limited buffer against comprehensive income items of (1.98B), which is -12.08x, indicating elevated exposure to market risks.
  • Operating cash flow of 14.76B is outpaced by equity issuance of (906M) (-16.29 ratio), indicating concerning reliance on equity markets for funding operations.

Product and Service Breakdown of Revenue (2025)

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2025)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Discount Stores
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 WMT Walmart Inc. 1,493.21 Bn 103.91 3.66 68.42 Bn
2 COST Costco Wholesale Corp /New 443.66 Bn 356.36 5.82 8.10 Bn
3 TGT Target Corp 61.67 Bn 21.00 0.82 20.04 Bn
4 DG Dollar General Corp 32.90 Bn 23.24 0.83 16.51 Bn
5 DLTR Dollar Tree, Inc. 27.88 Bn -9.55 1.47 7.66 Bn
6 BJ BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. 13.09 Bn 22.76 0.62 2.70 Bn
7 OLLI Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. 6.85 Bn 30.61 2.70 0.67 Bn
8 PSMT Pricesmart Inc 4.69 Bn 31.14 0.87 0.33 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 5.34 2.61
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 162.53 36.59
EV to Debt EV to Debt 54.52 13.49
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 216.02 37.61
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 159.08 35.41
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 255.94 66.89
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.00 1.06
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 5.80 2.05
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 40.80 12.39
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 356.36 59.65
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 3.70 2,558.05
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 27.00 19.94
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 5.06 1.57
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 24.95 21.35
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 73.99 12.56
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -16.74 -8.17
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 48.68 36.06
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) -74.05 -7.48
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 9.24 -44.54
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 11.06 0.21
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 11.27 -49.73
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 11.62 -68.31
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 9.61 -17.04
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 79.56 37.06
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 10.09 10.99
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 3.39 1.82
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.11 0.07
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.39 0.20
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 1.04 1.14
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.27 1.24
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 73.99 12.56
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 73.99 12.56
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 5.00 4.61
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 4.01 0.99
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 3.96 2.30
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 12.90 24.97
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 3.00 1.03