Redwood Trust Inc (NYSE: RWT)

Sector: Real Estate Industry: REIT - Mortgage CIK: 0000930236
Market Cap 673.62 Mn
P/B 0.37
P/E 3.98
P/S 2.18
ROIC (Qtr) -1.49
Div Yield % 21.26
Rev 1y % (Qtr) -22.01
Total Debt (Qtr) 21.18 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 21.20
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About

Redwood Trust, Inc. (RWT) is a prominent player in the housing finance industry. The company's primary objective is to make quality housing accessible to all American households. It operates in a complex landscape, engaging in various business activities that generate revenue and solidify its position in the industry. Redwood Trust's operations span across three business segments: Residential Consumer Mortgage Banking, Residential Investor Mortgage Banking, and Investment Portfolio. The first segment, Residential Consumer Mortgage Banking, involves...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Free cash flow of (7.59B) provides excellent 75.84x coverage of dividends (100.06M), indicating sustainable shareholder returns.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 22.58B provides 965.96x coverage of intangibles 23.37M, indicating robust asset quality.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of (7.59B) barely covers its investment activities of 3.92B, with a coverage ratio of -1.93, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • The company's operating cash flow of (7.59B) shows concerning coverage of stock compensation expenses of 18.60M, with a -408.02 ratio indicating potential earnings quality issues.
  • Operating cash flow of (7.59B) provides minimal -323.73x coverage of tax expenses of 23.44M, suggesting potential tax planning inefficiencies or unsustainable tax positions.
  • Operating earnings of (73.23M) show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 10.57M, with a -6.93 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.
  • Operating cash flow of (7.59B) barely covers operating expenses of 45.90M with a -165.31 ratio, suggesting thin operational efficiency margins and limited flexibility.

Peer comparison

Companies in the REIT - Mortgage
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 NLY Annaly Capital Management Inc 14.71 Bn 7.87 6.55 116.19 Bn
2 STWD Starwood Property Trust, Inc. 6.37 Bn 17.38 3.53 21.43 Bn
3 RITM Rithm Capital Corp. 5.13 Bn 8.83 1.19 34.97 Bn
4 AGNC AGNC Investment Corp. 4.37 Bn -4.73 -5.78 95.01 Bn
5 BXMT Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. 3.37 Bn 30.72 6.09 16.11 Bn
6 ARI Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. 1.51 Bn 13.19 5.56 7.92 Bn
7 LADR Ladder Capital Corp 1.32 Bn 20.49 6.10 3.51 Bn
8 EFC Ellington Financial Inc. 1.18 Bn 10.42 3.75 15.57 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.60 0.76
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO -11.54 -6.93
EV to Debt EV to Debt 0.63 1.12
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 76.14 167.08
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 67.32 48.08
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF -11.54 9.77
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 19.96 21.65
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 43.62 6.17
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 0.37 0.54
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 3.98 772.25
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) -0.97 -0.59
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) -87.80 -30.07
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.72 1.18
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) -1.22 74.31
Interest Coverage Interest Coverage 0.00 -0.17
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex Growth (1y) % 0.00 -29.64
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 1.30 17.79
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 10.77 5.51
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -218.37 -21.86
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -137.51 -15.11
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -176.89 -17.24
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -176.89 -27.05
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -246.43 -51.32
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -23.24 53.49
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) -50.94 -1.07
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.01 0.04
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) -0.01 0.73
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio 0.00 0.00
Current Ratio Current Ratio 0.00 0.00
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 21.20 5.09
Interest Cover Ratio Interest Cover Ratio 0.00 -0.17
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned 0.00 -0.17
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) -46.30 131.69
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) -54.12 136.71
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) -54.12 123.68
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 100.00 113.34
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) -76.60 120.00