Redwood Trust Inc (NYSE: RWT)

Sector: Real Estate Industry: REIT - Mortgage CIK: 0000930236
Market Cap 440.06 Mn
P/B 0.39
P/E 2.99
P/S 1.82
ROIC (Qtr) -1.49
Div Yield % 23.72
Rev 1y % (Qtr) -22.01
Total Debt (Qtr) 21.18 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 21.20

About

Redwood Trust, Inc. (RWT) is a prominent player in the housing finance industry. The company's primary objective is to make quality housing accessible to all American households. It operates in a complex landscape, engaging in various business activities that generate revenue and solidify its position in the industry. Redwood Trust's operations span across three business segments: Residential Consumer Mortgage Banking, Residential Investor Mortgage Banking, and Investment Portfolio. The first segment, Residential Consumer Mortgage Banking, involves...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Free cash flow of (7.59B) provides excellent 75.84x coverage of dividends (100.06M), indicating sustainable shareholder returns.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 22.58B provides 965.96x coverage of intangibles 23.37M, indicating robust asset quality.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of (7.59B) barely covers its investment activities of 3.92B, with a coverage ratio of -1.93, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • The company's operating cash flow of (7.59B) shows concerning coverage of stock compensation expenses of 18.60M, with a -408.02 ratio indicating potential earnings quality issues.
  • Operating cash flow of (7.59B) provides minimal -323.73x coverage of tax expenses of 23.44M, suggesting potential tax planning inefficiencies or unsustainable tax positions.
  • Operating earnings of (73.23M) show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 10.57M, with a -6.93 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.
  • Operating cash flow of (7.59B) barely covers operating expenses of 45.90M with a -165.31 ratio, suggesting thin operational efficiency margins and limited flexibility.

Peer comparison

Companies in the REIT - Mortgage
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 RITM Rithm Capital Corp. 5.56 Bn 7.15 1.12 34.97 Bn
2 STWD Starwood Property Trust, Inc. 5.05 Bn 11.75 4.20 21.43 Bn
3 AGNC AGNC Investment Corp. 4.13 Bn 1.40 1.31 95.01 Bn
4 NLY Annaly Capital Management Inc 3.69 Bn 2.21 1.94 107.02 Bn
5 LADR Ladder Capital Corp 1.29 Bn 20.14 6.00 3.51 Bn
6 MFA Mfa Financial, Inc. 0.89 Bn 3.03 2.45 9.84 Bn
7 CIM Chimera Investment Corp 0.84 Bn 8.08 1.54 12.22 Bn
8 BRSP BrightSpire Capital, Inc. 0.75 Bn -1.47 2.08 2.17 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.21 0.56
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO -5.04 45.88
EV to Debt EV to Debt 0.23 0.87
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 32.51 187.98
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 32.25 120.37
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF -5.04 56.42
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 10.95 25.15
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 19.92 56.50
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 0.39 0.71
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 2.99 4.95
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) -0.97 -0.57
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) -87.80 33.95
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.72 1.18
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) -1.22 52.50
Interest Coverage Interest Coverage 0.00 -0.17
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex Growth (1y) % 0.00 34.54
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 1.30 21.41
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 10.77 4.93
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -218.37 14.33
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -137.51 7.56
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -176.89 17.27
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -176.89 7.46
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -246.43 41.90
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -23.24 60.56
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) -50.94 16.78
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.01 0.04
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) -0.01 0.90
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio 0.00 0.00
Current Ratio Current Ratio 0.00 0.00
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 21.20 5.05
Interest Cover Ratio Interest Cover Ratio 0.00 -0.17
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned 0.00 -0.17
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) -46.30 136.11
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) -54.12 141.14
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) -54.12 128.11
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 100.00 114.71
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) -76.60 124.85