Annaly Capital Management Inc (NYSE: NLY)

Sector: Real Estate Industry: REIT - Mortgage CIK: 0001043219
Market Cap 14.71 Bn
P/B 0.91
P/E 7.87
P/S 6.55
ROIC (Qtr) 1.62
Div Yield % 12.18
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 101.23
Total Debt (Qtr) 116.19 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 7.22
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About

Annaly Capital Management, Inc. (NLY) is a prominent player in the mortgage finance industry, known for its diversified investment strategies and strong track record of generating net income for its stockholders. The company's business activities are primarily centered on investing in real estate-related assets, capitalizing on the spread between the yield on its investments and the cost of its borrowings and hedging activities. Annaly's investment portfolio spans across various groups, including the Annaly Agency Group, which focuses on Agency...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Operating cash flow of 692.91M provides exceptional 28.37x coverage of minority interest expenses 24.43M, showing strong core operations.
  • Strong operating cash flow of 692.91M provides 3.47x coverage of SG&A expenses 199.63M, showing efficient operational cost management.
  • Strong free cash flow of 692.91M provides 103.90x coverage of acquisition spending 6.67M, indicating disciplined M&A strategy.
  • Cash position of 2.04B provides exceptional 83.42x coverage of minority interest expenses 24.43M, indicating strong liquidity.
  • Cash reserves of 2.04B provide ample 305.57x coverage of acquisition spending 6.67M, enabling strategic growth opportunities.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 692.91M barely covers its investment activities of (27.36B), with a coverage ratio of -0.03, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 692.91M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (1.88B) with a -0.37 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Operating cash flow of 692.91M provides minimal -100.86x coverage of tax expenses of (6.87M), suggesting potential tax planning inefficiencies or unsustainable tax positions.
  • Free cash flow of 692.91M represents just 0.03x of debt issuance 25.54B, suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.
  • Operating cash flow of 692.91M is outpaced by equity issuance of 2.91B (0.24 ratio), indicating concerning reliance on equity markets for funding operations.

Peer comparison

Companies in the REIT - Mortgage
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 NLY Annaly Capital Management Inc 14.71 Bn 7.87 6.55 116.19 Bn
2 STWD Starwood Property Trust, Inc. 6.37 Bn 17.38 3.53 21.43 Bn
3 RITM Rithm Capital Corp. 5.13 Bn 8.83 1.19 34.97 Bn
4 AGNC AGNC Investment Corp. 4.37 Bn -4.73 -5.78 95.01 Bn
5 BXMT Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc. 3.37 Bn 30.72 6.09 16.11 Bn
6 ARI Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. 1.51 Bn 13.19 5.56 7.92 Bn
7 LADR Ladder Capital Corp 1.32 Bn 20.49 6.10 3.51 Bn
8 EFC Ellington Financial Inc. 1.18 Bn 10.42 3.75 15.57 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.88 0.76
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 172.66 -6.93
EV to Debt EV to Debt 1.03 1.12
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 59.21 167.08
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 57.55 48.08
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 172.66 9.77
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 8.13 21.65
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 53.30 6.17
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 0.91 0.54
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 7.87 772.25
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 0.92 -0.59
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 95.90 -30.07
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 2.80 1.18
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 258.54 74.31
Interest Coverage Interest Coverage 0.00 -0.17
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex Growth (1y) % 0.00 -29.64
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 36.95 17.79
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 7.69 5.51
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 102.34 -21.86
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 96.60 -15.11
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 98.63 -17.24
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 98.63 -27.05
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 80.25 -51.32
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -79.07 53.49
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 87.29 -1.07
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.02 0.04
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 3.52 0.73
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio 0.00 0.00
Current Ratio Current Ratio 0.00 0.00
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 7.22 5.09
Interest Cover Ratio Interest Cover Ratio 0.00 -0.17
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned 0.00 -0.17
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 91.50 131.69
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 90.02 136.71
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 90.02 123.68
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 100.00 113.34
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 83.30 120.00