OLIN Corp (NYSE: OLN)

Sector: Basic Materials Industry: Chemicals CIK: 0000074303
Market Cap 3.95 Bn
P/B 1.72
P/E 50.79
P/S 0.65
ROIC (Qtr) 4.20
Div Yield % 4.19
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 7.78
Total Debt (Qtr) 3.30 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 1.68
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About

OLIN Corp (OLN) is a Virginia-based corporation that has been in operation for over 130 years, excelling as a leading vertically integrated global manufacturer and distributor of chemical products, and a leading U.S. manufacturer of ammunition. The company's operations span three business segments: Chlor Alkali Products and Vinyls, Epoxy, and Winchester. The Chlor Alkali Products and Vinyls segment is responsible for manufacturing and selling a wide range of products, including chlorine and caustic soda, ethylene dichloride and vinyl chloride monomer,...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Operating cash flow of 294.70M provides strong 14.10x coverage of stock compensation 20.90M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Tangible assets of 5.99B provide robust 11.37x coverage of other current liabilities 526.80M, indicating strong asset backing.
  • Robust tangible asset base of 5.99B provides 7.37x coverage of working capital 812.50M, indicating strong operational backing.
  • Operating cash flow of 294.70M provides strong 12.08x coverage of operating expenses 24.40M, showing operational efficiency.
  • Retained earnings of 2.31B provide strong 4.39x coverage of other current liabilities 526.80M, indicating earnings quality.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 294.70M barely covers its investment activities of (302.30M), with a coverage ratio of -0.97, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • With cash reserves of 140.30M against inventory of 966.90M, the 0.15 cash-to-inventory ratio suggests potential liquidity risks if inventory turnover slows, particularly concerning given current supply chain volatilities.
  • Operating cash flow of 294.70M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (92.10M) with a -3.20 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Cash reserves of 140.30M provide limited coverage of acquisition spending of (80.40M), which is -1.75x, suggesting aggressive expansion might strain liquidity if market conditions deteriorate.
  • Operating cash flow of 294.70M provides minimal -54.57x coverage of tax expenses of (5.40M), suggesting potential tax planning inefficiencies or unsustainable tax positions.

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Chemicals
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 DOW Dow Inc. 22.27 Bn -8.49 0.56 19.60 Bn
2 CE Celanese Corp 6.07 Bn 3.05 0.57 13.13 Bn
3 MEOH Methanex Corp 4.41 Bn 45.97 2.24 3.64 Bn
4 OLN OLIN Corp 3.95 Bn 50.79 0.65 3.30 Bn
5 HUN Huntsman CORP 2.92 Bn 8.95 0.39 2.40 Bn
6 REX REX AMERICAN RESOURCES Corp 1.12 Bn 22.21 1.72 0.02 Bn
7 TROX Tronox Holdings plc 1.06 Bn -9.74 0.40 3.46 Bn
8 GPRE Green Plains Inc. 0.89 Bn -7.32 0.42 0.57 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.97 0.76
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 11.31 10.63
EV to Debt EV to Debt 2.23 4.16
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 25.72 -392.22
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 9.71 11.31
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 20.29 18.26
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.87 1.76
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 1.22 4.23
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 1.72 1.69
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 50.79 -53.47
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 0.58 -12.67
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 173.90 17.68
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.80 0.50
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 114.12 1,007.72
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 1.26 -82.93
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -3.57 22.09
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -37.89 4.03
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 0.00 -8.48
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -10.60 -121.97
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -15.18 -25.84
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -38.99 -147.36
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -75.74 -143.26
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -64.62 -108.77
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -85.95 -91.55
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) -17.71 0.31
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.89 0.63
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.18 0.07
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.10 1.02
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 1.56 2.84
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 1.68 1.19
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 1.26 -82.93
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 1.26 -82.93
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 11.20 -96.08
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 3.47 -110.82
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 0.71 -114.07
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 9.30 10.84
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 0.80 -117.97