NMI Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ: NMIH)

Sector: Financial Services Industry: Insurance - Specialty CIK: 0001547903
Market Cap 3.12 Bn
P/B 1.24
P/E 8.20
P/S 4.51
ROIC (Qtr) 13.94
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 7.58
Total Debt (Qtr) 416.55 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.17

About

NMI Holdings, Inc., commonly known as NMIH, operates in the mortgage insurance (MI) industry in the United States. Its common stock is listed on the Nasdaq under the symbol "NMIH". The company's primary business involves providing MI coverage to mortgage lenders and investors, protecting them from default-related losses on a portion of the unpaid principal balance of a covered mortgage. NMI Holdings operates through its wholly-owned subsidiaries, National Mortgage Insurance Corporation (NMIC) and National Mortgage Reinsurance Inc. One (Re One). NMI...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 393.38M provides robust 0.94x coverage of total debt 416.55M, indicating excellent debt servicing capability and financial flexibility.
  • Operating cash flow of 393.38M provides exceptional 13.83x coverage of interest expenses 28.45M, showing strong debt service capability.
  • Operating cash flow of 393.38M provides strong 18.64x coverage of stock compensation 21.11M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 3.72B provides 8.94x coverage of total debt 416.55M, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Strong operating cash flow of 393.38M provides 3.28x coverage of SG&A expenses 119.93M, showing efficient operational cost management.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 393.38M barely covers its investment activities of (284.94M), with a coverage ratio of -1.38, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 393.38M is outpaced by equity issuance of (100.31M) (-3.92 ratio), indicating concerning reliance on equity markets for funding operations.
  • Retained earnings of 1.88B provide limited buffer against comprehensive income items of (53.65M), which is -35x, indicating elevated exposure to market risks.
  • R&D investment of 0 represents just 0x of SG&A expenses of 119.93M, indicating potential underinvestment in innovation relative to administrative overhead.
  • Fixed assets of 22.76M showing 1.97x ratio to depreciation of 11.53M indicates aging infrastructure requiring significant near-term capital investment.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Insurance - Specialty
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 FNF Fidelity National Financial, Inc. 15.26 Bn 23.54 2.08 4.77 Bn
2 MTG Mgic Investment Corp 9.66 Bn 14.24 8.40 0.65 Bn
3 AXS Axis Capital Holdings Ltd 8.26 Bn 8.41 1.31 1.49 Bn
4 FAF First American Financial Corp 7.01 Bn 37.30 1.50 2.85 Bn
5 ESNT Essent Group Ltd. 6.47 Bn 9.20 5.12 0.49 Bn
6 RDN Radian Group Inc 6.41 Bn 16.29 4.46 1.13 Bn
7 ACT Enact Holdings, Inc. 6.39 Bn 9.68 5.21 0.74 Bn
8 RYAN Ryan Specialty Holdings, Inc. 4.68 Bn 69.49 2.60 3.58 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.93 0.71
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 8.78 52.18
EV to Debt EV to Debt 8.30 24.11
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 6.67 22.79
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 6.53 20.50
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 8.93 378.62
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.11 1.79
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 4.99 5.76
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 1.24 1.92
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 8.20 18.05
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Dividend Coverage Ratio 0.00 2.59
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 38.44
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 2.02
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 72.23
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 18.21 24.83
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) 6.46 -23.94
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -2.16 -13.37
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 6.74
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 4.16 22.43
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 4.32 10.45
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 4.52 35.06
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 6.95 50.45
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 9.44 37.38
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 1.56 -3.02
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 4.10 11.39
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.19 0.23
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.51
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio 0.00 0.00
Current Ratio Current Ratio 0.00 0.06
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.17 0.51
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 18.21 24.83
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 18.21 24.83
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 76.50 36.49
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 74.83 34.57
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 70.72 17.61
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 92.20 74.55
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 55.00 10.79