Mistras Group, Inc. (NYSE: MG)

Sector: Industrials Industry: Security & Protection Services CIK: 0001436126
Market Cap 452.99 Mn
P/B 1.99
P/E 24.98
P/S 0.63
ROIC (Qtr) 6.76
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 7.04
Total Debt (Qtr) 222.98 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.98
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About

Mistras Group, Inc. (MG) is a prominent player in the field of integrated technology-enabled asset protection solutions. With a focus on maximizing the safety and operational uptime of crucial industrial and civil assets, Mistras has established itself as an industry leader through its innovative, data-driven asset protection portfolio and proprietary technologies. The company's operations span across various countries and industries, providing a diverse range of specialized solutions to its clients. At the heart of Mistras' business model lies...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Operating cash flow of 26.50M provides exceptional 128.65x coverage of minority interest expenses 206000, showing strong core operations.
  • Cash position of 27.80M provides exceptional 134.98x coverage of minority interest expenses 206000, indicating strong liquidity.
  • Robust tangible asset base of 374.08M provides 3.35x coverage of working capital 111.71M, indicating strong operational backing.
  • Tangible assets of 374.08M provide robust 4.24x coverage of other current liabilities 88.30M, indicating strong asset backing.
  • Free cash flow of 7.74M provides robust 7.16x coverage of R&D expenses 1.08M, enabling sustainable innovation investment.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 26.50M barely covers its investment activities of (23.18M), with a coverage ratio of -1.14, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Investment activities of (23.18M) provide weak support for R&D spending of 1.08M, which is -21.44x, suggesting potentially insufficient investment in innovation relative to other capital deployment.
  • High receivables of 174.79M relative to inventory of 14.79M (11.81 ratio) suggests aggressive credit terms or collection difficulties, potentially masking revenue quality issues.
  • The company's operating cash flow of 26.50M shows concerning coverage of stock compensation expenses of 6.88M, with a 3.85 ratio indicating potential earnings quality issues.
  • Free cash flow of 7.74M provides weak coverage of capital expenditures of 18.76M, with a 0.41 ratio suggesting additional external financing needs for growth initiatives.

Consolidation Items Breakdown of Revenue (2017)

Consolidation Items Breakdown of Revenue (2017)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Security & Protection Services
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 ALLE Allegion plc 14.00 Bn 21.75 3.44 1.98 Bn
2 MSA MSA Safety Inc 7.99 Bn 374.33 5.71 0.63 Bn
3 BCO Brinks Co 6.24 Bn 112.89 1.74 4.32 Bn
4 BRC Brady Corp 4.99 Bn 38.51 4.29 0.18 Bn
5 ADT ADT Inc. 4.95 Bn -9.23 1.68 7.81 Bn
6 CXW CoreCivic, Inc. 2.04 Bn 18.69 0.98 1.04 Bn
7 GEO Geo Group Inc 2.02 Bn 8.48 0.80 1.63 Bn
8 NSSC Napco Security Technologies, Inc 1.57 Bn 33.18 8.19 0.01 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 1.08 1.53
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 24.30 15.25
EV to Debt EV to Debt 2.89 44.60
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 16.92 8.47
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 9.24 14.35
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 83.20 28.03
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.42 0.95
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 0.90 2.53
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 1.99 3.48
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 24.98 32.21
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 0.00 106.48
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 25.28
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.36
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 7.91
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 2.56 -11.72
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) 3.08 -7.19
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 36.57 23.04
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 -3.73
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 14.99 35.26
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 9.87 87.34
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 20.68 29.11
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 69.02 41.98
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 61.11 37.27
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -63.45 -41.16
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 2.17 7.42
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 1.20 0.71
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.05
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.22 1.61
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 1.89 3.37
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.98 1.13
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 2.56 -11.72
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 2.56 -11.72
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 9.70 -5.57
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 5.32 -15.45
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 3.24 -14.45
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 28.60 38.13
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 2.50 -16.17