Ramaco Resources, Inc. (NASDAQ: METC)

Sector: Basic Materials Industry: Coking Coal CIK: 0001687187
Market Cap 788.16 Mn
P/B 1.50
P/E -23.97
P/S 1.36
ROIC (Qtr) -4.76
Div Yield % 2.12
Rev 1y % (Qtr) -27.73
Total Debt (Qtr) 136.66 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.26
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About

Ramaco Resources, Inc. (METC) is a company that operates in the metallurgical coal industry, with a significant presence in southern West Virginia and southwestern Virginia. Its 9.00% Senior Notes due 2026 are listed on the NASDAQ Global Select Market under the symbol METCL. Ramaco Resources is a key player in the metallurgical coal industry, with an estimated aggregate annual production capacity of nearly four million clean tons of coal. The company's strategy is focused on increasing stockholder value through sustained earnings growth, cash flow...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Healthy cash reserves of 193.85M provide 20.65x coverage of short-term debt 9.39M, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 849.65M provides 6.22x coverage of total debt 136.66M, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Robust tangible asset base of 849.65M provides 3.89x coverage of working capital 218.16M, indicating strong operational backing.
  • Tangible assets of 849.65M provide robust 14.28x coverage of other current liabilities 59.50M, indicating strong asset backing.
  • Free cash flow of (30.11M) provides excellent 6.74x coverage of dividends (4.47M), indicating sustainable shareholder returns.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 36.02M barely covers its investment activities of (68.88M), with a coverage ratio of -0.52, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 36.02M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (4.47M) with a -8.06 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • The company's operating cash flow of 36.02M shows concerning coverage of stock compensation expenses of 17.05M, with a 2.11 ratio indicating potential earnings quality issues.
  • Free cash flow of (30.11M) provides weak coverage of capital expenditures of 66.13M, with a -0.46 ratio suggesting additional external financing needs for growth initiatives.
  • Operating earnings of (31.38M) show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 68.38M, with a -0.46 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Coking Coal
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 HCC Warrior Met Coal, Inc. 4.48 Bn 78.63 3.42 270.94 Mn
2 AMR Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. 2.37 Bn -50.82 1.06 4.97 Mn
3 METC Ramaco Resources, Inc. 0.79 Bn -23.97 1.36 136.66 Mn
4 SXC SunCoke Energy, Inc. 0.64 Bn -4.27 0.41 695.70 Mn
5 AREC American Resources Corp 0.24 Bn -6.46 2,523.69 243.35 Mn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 1.05 1.30
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 24.84 6.27
EV to Debt EV to Debt 6.55 82.62
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT -28.52 -5.13
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 26.03 28.89
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF -29.72 3.80
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.14 1.41
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 1.54 1,003.45
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 1.50 0.54
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E -23.97 -1.38
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) -7.36 -22.95
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) -51.30 8.30
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.34 0.23
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) -63.12 3.54
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) -3.52 -2.77
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) 11.72 -16.23
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 747.82 109.36
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) -36.88 -16.71
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -160.71 -59.90
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -68.98 -32.77
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -158.26 -66.17
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -184.43 -76.68
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -200.00 -73.57
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -147.31 -60.16
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) -42.25 -8.29
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.68 0.61
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.04 0.06
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 1.75 1.00
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 2.97 2.47
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.26 -0.46
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) -3.52 -2.77
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) -3.52 -2.77
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 6.40 -4,844.46
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) -5.41 -5,353.16
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) -6.95 -7,817.94
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 16.10 291.70
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) -5.70 -7,817.48