Jakks Pacific Inc (NASDAQ: JAKK)

Sector: Consumer Cyclical Industry: Leisure CIK: 0001009829
Market Cap 170.92 Mn
P/B 1.62
P/E 3.50
P/S 0.20
ROIC (Qtr) 1.79
Div Yield % 1.43
Rev 1y % (Qtr) -34.33
Total Debt (Qtr) 56.62 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.22
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About

JAKKS Pacific Inc., often recognized by its NASDAQ ticker symbol JAKK, operates in the toy industry, a highly competitive and seasonal business. Established in 1995 and headquartered in Santa Monica, California, JAKKS has carved out a niche for itself as a leading multi-product line, multi-brand toy company. The company's portfolio includes a diverse array of toys and consumer products, which it designs, produces, markets, sells, and distributes. JAKKS' business activities span the globe, with a presence in over 100 countries. Its operations are...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 29.38M provides robust 0.52x coverage of total debt 56.62M, indicating excellent debt servicing capability and financial flexibility.
  • Healthy cash reserves of 27.76M provide 2.06x coverage of short-term debt 13.50M, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 450.19M provides 7.95x coverage of total debt 56.62M, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Operating cash flow of 29.38M provides exceptional 52.55x coverage of interest expenses 559000, showing strong debt service capability.
  • Robust tangible asset base of 450.19M provides 3.36x coverage of working capital 133.81M, indicating strong operational backing.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 29.38M barely covers its investment activities of (13.57M), with a coverage ratio of -2.16, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 29.38M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (8.37M) with a -3.51 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Cash reserves of 27.76M provide limited coverage of acquisition spending of (1.82M), which is -15.27x, suggesting aggressive expansion might strain liquidity if market conditions deteriorate.
  • High receivables of 195.78M relative to inventory of 71.50M (2.74 ratio) suggests aggressive credit terms or collection difficulties, potentially masking revenue quality issues.
  • The company's operating cash flow of 29.38M shows concerning coverage of stock compensation expenses of 10.39M, with a 2.83 ratio indicating potential earnings quality issues.

Concentration Risk Type Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Geographical Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Leisure
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 AS Amer Sports, Inc. 22.38 Bn 71.89 3.67 1.87 Bn
2 HAS Hasbro, Inc. 13.30 Bn 46.47 3.26 3.32 Bn
3 PLNT Planet Fitness, Inc. 7.78 Bn 37.79 6.04 2.58 Bn
4 GOLF Acushnet Holdings Corp. 7.40 Bn 80.24 4.75 0.90 Bn
5 LTH Life Time Group Holdings, Inc. 6.29 Bn 21.85 2.16 4.13 Bn
6 MAT Mattel Inc /De/ 5.43 Bn 12.57 1.04 2.59 Bn
7 YETI YETI Holdings, Inc. 3.97 Bn 24.75 2.17 0.22 Bn
8 MSGE Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. 2.95 Bn 56.80 2.91 1.20 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.45 1.19
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 2.28 -6.09
EV to Debt EV to Debt 3.87 14.49
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 2.94 -159.90
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 2.45 -4.06
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 2.54 0.74
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.28 -0.64
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 0.26 4.65
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 1.62 4.75
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 3.50 12.00
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 0.73 -0.51
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 153.10 3.11
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.75 0.22
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 47.59 6.13
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 16.55 -30.68
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -11.58 -13.50
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 24.56 1,190.33
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 0.00 13.88
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -80.74 -111.75
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -62.07 -165.31
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -76.36 -1,562.20
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -76.82 -1,555.34
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -82.81 -377.44
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 137.51 10.93
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) -14.19 17.65
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 1.18 0.73
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.20 0.07
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.15 3.31
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 1.74 4.80
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.22 2.35
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 16.55 -30.68
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 16.55 -30.68
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 3.40 -57.55
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 1.61 -65.38
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 1.51 -69.55
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 31.60 46.51
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 1.10 -74.45