Mattel Inc /De/ (NASDAQ: MAT)

Sector: Consumer Cyclical Industry: Leisure CIK: 0000063276
Market Cap 5.43 Bn
P/B 2.40
P/E 12.57
P/S 1.04
ROIC (Qtr) 8.92
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) -5.85
Total Debt (Qtr) 2.59 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 1.15
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About

Mattel, Inc., commonly referred to as Mattel, operates as a leading global toy and family entertainment company in the design, manufacture, and marketing of toys and family products, as well as a provider of digital entertainment content. Mattel's primary business activities revolve around creating innovative products and experiences that inspire fans, entertain audiences, and develop children through play. The company's products cater to children of all ages, ranging from infants to preschoolers, and include a wide range of toys, games, and entertainment...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Robust free cash flow of 490.39M exceeds capital expenditure of 168.46M by 2.91x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Operating cash flow of 658.85M fully covers other non-current liabilities 364.52M by 1.81x, showing strong long-term stability.
  • Tangible assets of 4.86B provide robust 5.51x coverage of other current liabilities 882.56M, indicating strong asset backing.
  • Retained earnings of 3.90B provide full 1.95x coverage of long-term debt 1.99B, indicating strong internal capital position.
  • Cash reserves of 691.89M provide solid 1.90x coverage of other non-current liabilities 364.52M, indicating strong liquidity.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 658.85M barely covers its investment activities of (134.81M), with a coverage ratio of -4.89, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 658.85M is outpaced by equity issuance of (538.46M) (-1.22 ratio), indicating concerning reliance on equity markets for funding operations.
  • Retained earnings of 3.90B provide limited buffer against comprehensive income items of (923.22M), which is -4.22x, indicating elevated exposure to market risks.
  • Fixed assets of 847.81M showing 5.02x ratio to depreciation of 168.73M indicates aging infrastructure requiring significant near-term capital investment.
  • R&D investment of 0 represents just 0x of SG&A expenses of 2.07B, indicating potential underinvestment in innovation relative to administrative overhead.

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Geographical Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Leisure
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 AS Amer Sports, Inc. 22.38 Bn 71.89 3.67 1.87 Bn
2 HAS Hasbro, Inc. 13.30 Bn 46.47 3.26 3.32 Bn
3 PLNT Planet Fitness, Inc. 7.78 Bn 37.79 6.04 2.58 Bn
4 GOLF Acushnet Holdings Corp. 7.40 Bn 80.24 4.75 0.90 Bn
5 LTH Life Time Group Holdings, Inc. 6.29 Bn 21.85 2.16 4.13 Bn
6 MAT Mattel Inc /De/ 5.43 Bn 12.57 1.04 2.59 Bn
7 YETI YETI Holdings, Inc. 3.97 Bn 24.75 2.17 0.22 Bn
8 MSGE Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. 2.95 Bn 56.80 2.91 1.20 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 1.09 1.19
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 10.87 -6.09
EV to Debt EV to Debt 2.76 14.49
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 11.32 -159.90
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 9.78 -4.06
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 14.61 0.74
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.32 -0.64
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 1.37 4.65
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 2.40 4.75
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 12.57 12.00
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 0.00 -0.51
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 3.11
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.22
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 6.13
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 5.39 -30.68
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) 12.65 -13.50
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -4.37 1,190.33
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 0.00 13.88
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -19.08 -111.75
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -13.43 -165.31
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -14.05 -1,562.20
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -16.25 -1,555.34
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -16.77 -377.44
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -29.44 10.93
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) -2.16 17.65
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.79 0.73
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.07
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.35 3.31
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 1.60 4.80
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 1.15 2.35
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 5.39 -30.68
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 5.39 -30.68
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 15.30 -57.55
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 12.11 -65.38
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 9.86 -69.55
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 50.30 46.51
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 8.30 -74.45