Home Depot, Inc. (NYSE: HD)

Sector: Consumer Cyclical Industry: Home Improvement Retail CIK: 0000354950
Market Cap 424.87 Bn
P/B -366.27
P/E 37.92
P/S 3.86
ROIC (Qtr) 21.81
Div Yield % 1.85
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 2.82
Total Debt (Qtr) 65.42 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 5.40
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About

The Home Depot, Inc., commonly known as Home Depot, is a prominent player in the home improvement industry, operating under the ticker symbol HD. The company's operations span various segments, including its core retail business, installation services, and its subsidiary, HD Supply. Home Depot is renowned for its wide range of products and services, which cater to the needs of both professionals and consumers in the home improvement market. Home Depot's business activities revolve around providing home improvement products, building materials,...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Operating cash flow of 17.65B provides strong 33.81x coverage of stock compensation 522M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Tangible assets of 73.59B provide exceptional 28.94x coverage of deferred revenue 2.54B, showing strong service capability backing.
  • Robust free cash flow of 13.93B exceeds capital expenditure of 3.72B by 3.74x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Operating cash flow of 17.65B provides strong 6.94x coverage of deferred revenue 2.54B, indicating service delivery capability.
  • Retained earnings of 94.25B provide full 1.73x coverage of long-term debt 54.33B, indicating strong internal capital position.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 17.65B barely covers its investment activities of (8.88B), with a coverage ratio of -1.99, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • With cash reserves of 1.68B against inventory of 26.20B, the 0.06 cash-to-inventory ratio suggests potential liquidity risks if inventory turnover slows, particularly concerning given current supply chain volatilities.
  • Operating cash flow of 17.65B provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (9.10B) with a -1.94 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Cash reserves of 1.68B provide limited coverage of acquisition spending of (5.28B), which is -0.32x, suggesting aggressive expansion might strain liquidity if market conditions deteriorate.
  • Retained earnings of 94.25B provide limited buffer against comprehensive income items of (820M), which is -114.95x, indicating elevated exposure to market risks.

Geographical Breakdown of Revenue (2025)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Home Improvement Retail
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 HD Home Depot, Inc. 424.87 Bn 37.92 3.86 65.42 Bn
2 LOW Lowes Companies Inc 282.71 Bn 110.69 5.11 44.70 Bn
3 FND Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. 7.47 Bn 34.45 1.60 1.99 Bn
4 HVT Haverty Furniture Companies Inc 0.57 Bn 67.28 0.92 0.21 Bn
5 LIVE LIVE VENTURES Inc 0.06 Bn 2.60 0.13 0.22 Bn
6 TBHC Brand House Collective, Inc. 0.03 Bn -1.00 0.07 0.19 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 4.30 2.29
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 33.13 22.64
EV to Debt EV to Debt 6.99 3.80
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 29.04 29.44
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 25.49 17.00
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 40.82 92.96
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.08 2.67
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 4.16 2.22
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B -366.27 -55.76
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 37.92 41.99
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 1.60 0.86
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 62.20 34.62
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 9.15 2.52
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 65.24 25.87
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 9.18 17.24
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -14.81 10.53
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 9.99 8.26
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 3.51 -5.82
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 1.58 58.71
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 3.35 -15.87
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 1.71 62.53
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -0.07 24.00
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -0.41 34.92
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -16.25 -7.82
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 7.05 -1.15
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 1.56 1.34
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.43 0.15
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.05 0.23
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 1.05 1.29
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 5.40 0.10
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 9.18 17.24
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 9.18 17.24
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 15.40 9.97
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 12.96 6.49
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 11.55 5.16
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 33.40 38.12
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 8.80 3.72