Lowes Companies Inc (NYSE: LOW)

Sector: Consumer Cyclical Industry: Home Improvement Retail CIK: 0000060667
Market Cap 282.71 Bn
P/B 26.35
P/E 110.69
P/S 5.11
ROIC (Qtr) 25.17
Div Yield % 0.72
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 3.19
Total Debt (Qtr) 44.70 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) -4.31
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About

Lowe's Companies, Inc., often referred to as Lowe's, is a Fortune 50 company and the world's second-largest home improvement retailer. With a rich history that spans nearly a century, Lowe's has established itself as a formidable player in the industry, operating over 1,746 home improvement stores and outlets across the United States. These locations encompass approximately 195 million square feet of retail selling space, providing a vast platform for Lowe's to serve its customers. Lowe's generates revenue through a diverse range of products and...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Operating cash flow of 9.21B provides strong 39.35x coverage of stock compensation 234M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Tangible assets of 43.48B provide exceptional 15.47x coverage of deferred revenue 2.81B, showing strong service capability backing.
  • Robust free cash flow of 7.13B exceeds capital expenditure of 2.08B by 3.42x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Operating cash flow of 9.21B provides strong 3.28x coverage of deferred revenue 2.81B, indicating service delivery capability.
  • Robust tangible asset base of 43.48B provides 56.54x coverage of working capital 769M, indicating strong operational backing.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 9.21B barely covers its investment activities of (12.11B), with a coverage ratio of -0.76, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • With cash reserves of 621M against inventory of 17.18B, the 0.04 cash-to-inventory ratio suggests potential liquidity risks if inventory turnover slows, particularly concerning given current supply chain volatilities.
  • Operating cash flow of 9.21B provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (2.61B) with a -3.52 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Cash reserves of 621M provide limited coverage of acquisition spending of (9.97B), which is -0.06x, suggesting aggressive expansion might strain liquidity if market conditions deteriorate.
  • Cash position of 621M provides weak coverage of payables of 10.24B, which is 0.06x, indicating potential working capital stress and supplier relationship risks.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Home Improvement Retail
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 HD Home Depot, Inc. 424.87 Bn 37.92 3.86 65.42 Bn
2 LOW Lowes Companies Inc 282.71 Bn 110.69 5.11 44.70 Bn
3 FND Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. 7.47 Bn 34.45 1.60 1.99 Bn
4 HVT Haverty Furniture Companies Inc 0.57 Bn 67.28 0.92 0.21 Bn
5 LIVE LIVE VENTURES Inc 0.06 Bn 2.60 0.13 0.22 Bn
6 TBHC Brand House Collective, Inc. 0.03 Bn -1.00 0.07 0.19 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 5.46 2.29
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 59.11 22.64
EV to Debt EV to Debt 6.53 3.80
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 63.43 29.44
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 47.11 17.00
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 71.59 92.96
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.03 2.67
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 5.27 2.22
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 26.35 -55.76
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 110.69 41.99
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 2.59 0.86
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 38.80 34.62
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 4.70 2.52
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 36.87 25.87
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 7.72 17.24
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -8.38 10.53
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -81.01 8.26
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 4.44 -5.82
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -1.06 58.71
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 0.57 -15.87
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -0.48 62.53
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -0.50 24.00
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 0.58 34.92
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -9.81 -7.82
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 1.77 -1.15
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 1.58 1.34
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.23 0.15
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.03 0.23
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 1.04 1.29
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) -4.31 0.10
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 7.72 17.24
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 7.72 17.24
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 15.30 9.97
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 12.19 6.49
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 10.62 5.16
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 33.60 38.12
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 8.00 3.72