GeoPark Ltd (NYSE: GPRK)

Sector: Energy Industry: Oil & Gas E&P CIK: 0001464591
Market Cap 410.74 Mn
P/B 1.97
P/E 12.10
P/S 0.78
ROIC (Qtr) 16.72
Div Yield % 5.43
Rev 1y % (Qtr) -21.58
Total Debt (Qtr) 596.87 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 2.86
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About

GeoPark Ltd, a leading independent oil and natural gas exploration and production company, operates primarily in Latin America, with a focus on Colombia, Ecuador, Brazil, and Chile. The company, incorporated in 2006, has built a strong reputation for growth, sustainability performance, and strong value delivery. GeoPark's business model revolves around the principle of "We Make Assets Better," a philosophy that drives the company to continuously enhance its asset portfolio. The company's operations are divided into three key elements: delivering...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Healthy cash reserves of 197.01M provide 12.56x coverage of short-term debt 15.69M, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Operating cash flow of 161.35M provides strong 33.46x coverage of stock compensation 4.82M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Strong operating cash flow of 161.35M provides 2.83x coverage of SG&A expenses 57.02M, showing efficient operational cost management.
  • Operating cash flow of 161.35M provides solid 1.30x coverage of current liabilities 124.51M, showing strong operational health.
  • Operating cash flow of 161.35M fully covers other non-current liabilities 92.79M by 1.74x, showing strong long-term stability.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 161.35M barely covers its investment activities of (79.92M), with a coverage ratio of -2.02, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 161.35M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (30.17M) with a -5.35 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Investment activities of (79.92M) provide weak support for R&D spending of 11.67M, which is -6.85x, suggesting potentially insufficient investment in innovation relative to other capital deployment.
  • High receivables of 99M relative to inventory of 7.25M (13.65 ratio) suggests aggressive credit terms or collection difficulties, potentially masking revenue quality issues.
  • Operating earnings of 155.17M show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 124.31M, with a 1.25 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Oil & Gas E&P
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 COP Conocophillips 136.62 Bn 17.10 2.22 23.44 Bn
2 CNQ Canadian Natural Resources Ltd 85.21 Bn 17.67 3.04 12.51 Bn
3 EOG Eog Resources Inc 66.33 Bn -60.48 8.67 8.13 Bn
4 FANG Diamondback Energy, Inc. 49.64 Bn -2,818.83 314.47 16.24 Bn
5 OXY Occidental Petroleum Corp /De/ 37.18 Bn 15.36 2.56 22.88 Bn
6 WDS Woodside Energy Group Ltd 34.64 Bn 11.73 2.51 -
7 TPL Texas Pacific Land Corp 29.74 Bn 126.16 78.66 0.02 Bn
8 DVN Devon Energy Corp/De 18.80 Bn 3.24 1.91 8.55 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.79 1.02
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 4.94 18.21
EV to Debt EV to Debt 1.33 54.57
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 5.13 29.98
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 2.67 19.64
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 12.06 39.33
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.94 1.57
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 1.51 11.47
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 1.97 2.97
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 12.10 -25.98
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 1.12 26.80
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 65.80 31.86
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.44 0.78
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 34.43 1.05
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 1.95 -4.97
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) 54.22 -533.65
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 59.60 52.06
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) -22.22 -5.45
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -44.97 6.14
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -31.79 105.89
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -46.10 75.94
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -69.03 17.44
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -66.50 3.07
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -61.60 -43.36
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) -29.05 149.32
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.52 0.33
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.12 0.07
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 1.58 1.32
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 2.63 2.37
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 2.86 0.34
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 1.95 -4.97
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 1.95 -4.97
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 53.10 16.19
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 29.50 -16.83
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 14.37 -24.06
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 72.30 58.92
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 6.50 -28.75