National Vision Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ: EYE)

Sector: Consumer Cyclical Industry: Specialty Retail CIK: 0001710155
Market Cap 2.14 Bn
P/B 2.49
P/E -925.33
P/S 1.11
ROIC (Qtr) 1.05
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 7.93
Total Debt (Qtr) 693.57 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.81
Add ratio to table...

About

National Vision Holdings, Inc., often referred to as National Vision, is a leading optical retailer based in the United States. The company operates under the brands America's Best, Eyeglass World, and Vista Optical, with a mission to make quality eye care and eyewear accessible and affordable for all Americans. National Vision's business model revolves around providing exceptional value and convenience to customers, characterized by low prices, a wide range of products, and high levels of in-store service. National Vision's portfolio of brands...

Read more

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Tangible assets of 1.01B provide exceptional 7.52x coverage of deferred revenue 134.28M, showing strong service capability backing.
  • Tangible assets of 1.01B provide robust 9.07x coverage of other current liabilities 111.33M, indicating strong asset backing.
  • Free cash flow of 82.95M provides solid 0.73x coverage of operating expenses 112.88M, showing operational efficiency.
  • Operating cash flow of 163.42M exceeds receivables of 46.13M by 3.54x, demonstrating excellent collection efficiency.
  • Free cash flow of 82.95M provides healthy 0.94x coverage of inventory 88.01M, showing efficient inventory management.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 163.42M barely covers its investment activities of (86.02M), with a coverage ratio of -1.90, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 163.42M provides insufficient coverage of deferred revenue obligations of 134.28M, which is 1.22x, raising concerns about future service delivery capabilities.
  • Operating earnings of 27.47M show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 99.81M, with a 0.28 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.
  • Free cash flow of 82.95M represents just -0.82x of debt issuance (100.99M), suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.
  • High depreciation of 99.81M relative to operating cash flow of 163.42M, which is 0.61x suggests significant maintenance capital requirements affecting free cash flow.

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Product and Service Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Specialty Retail
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 ULTA Ulta Beauty, Inc. 32.20 Bn 27.06 2.69 2.57 Bn
2 WSM Williams Sonoma Inc 29.62 Bn 25.19 3.40 1.47 Bn
3 TSCO Tractor Supply Co /De/ 28.42 Bn 25.23 1.93 5.72 Bn
4 DKS Dick'S Sporting Goods, Inc. 24.98 Bn 88.10 4.64 7.70 Bn
5 CASY Caseys General Stores Inc 24.65 Bn 59.49 1.65 2.92 Bn
6 BBY Best Buy Co Inc 17.85 Bn 11.66 0.41 4.09 Bn
7 MUSA Murphy USA Inc. 15.91 Bn 61.33 1.35 2.75 Bn
8 FIVE Five Below, Inc 11.68 Bn 37.94 2.64 2.01 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 1.43 2.23
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 17.17 14.70
EV to Debt EV to Debt 4.05 79.39
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 102.17 -40.16
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 22.20 11.51
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 33.83 -286.14
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.31 6.33
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 1.46 2.39
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 2.49 32.78
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E -925.33 -36.32
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Dividend Coverage Ratio 0.00 -4.05
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 14.19
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.71
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 18.58
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 1.57 4.43
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) 16.44 13.87
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -24.23 33.75
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 0.00
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -1,599.65 -272.99
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 24.18 588.45
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 7,444.65 29.27
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 162.75 -92.23
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 85.00 -121.86
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 209.14 71.80
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 8.05 2.50
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.98 1.24
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.04
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.13 0.74
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 0.53 3.56
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.81 25.92
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 1.57 4.43
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 1.57 4.43
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 6.60 -42.64
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 1.43 -131.12
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 0.52 -64.70
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 58.70 30.93
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) -0.10 -65.71