California Resources Corp (NYSE: CRC)

Sector: Energy Industry: Oil & Gas E&P CIK: 0001609253
Market Cap 2.98 Bn
P/B -1.27
P/E -1.38
P/S 1.60
ROIC (Qtr) 12.04
Div Yield % 0.72
Rev 1y % (Qtr) -36.81
Total Debt (Qtr) 1.01 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.29
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About

California Resources Corp (CRC), a prominent player in the oil and natural gas industry, operates exclusively within California, generating revenue through the production and sale of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs). Its primary products include crude oil, condensate, NGLs, and natural gas. CRC's customer base spans various oil and gas companies, power generation, and industrial consumers. CRC's business activities are divided into several segments, including the San Joaquin Basin, Los Angeles Basin, Ventura Basin, Sacramento Basin,...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 836M provides robust 0.83x coverage of total debt 1.01B, indicating excellent debt servicing capability and financial flexibility.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 6.75B provides 6.68x coverage of total debt 1.01B, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Strong operating cash flow of 836M provides 2.51x coverage of SG&A expenses 333M, showing efficient operational cost management.
  • Robust free cash flow of 546M exceeds capital expenditure of 290M by 1.88x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Retained earnings of 1.93B provide full 2.17x coverage of long-term debt 889M, indicating strong internal capital position.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 836M barely covers its investment activities of (284M), with a coverage ratio of -2.94, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 836M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (139M) with a -6.01 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • High receivables of 312M relative to inventory of 94M (3.32 ratio) suggests aggressive credit terms or collection difficulties, potentially masking revenue quality issues.
  • Operating earnings of 625M show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 524M, with a 1.19 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.
  • Free cash flow of 546M represents just -4.40x of debt issuance (124M), suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.

Consolidated Entities Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Oil & Gas E&P
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 COP Conocophillips 136.62 Bn 17.10 2.22 23.44 Bn
2 CNQ Canadian Natural Resources Ltd 85.21 Bn 17.67 3.04 12.51 Bn
3 EOG Eog Resources Inc 66.33 Bn -60.48 8.67 8.13 Bn
4 FANG Diamondback Energy, Inc. 49.64 Bn -2,818.83 314.47 16.24 Bn
5 OXY Occidental Petroleum Corp /De/ 37.18 Bn 15.36 2.56 22.88 Bn
6 WDS Woodside Energy Group Ltd 34.64 Bn 11.73 2.51 -
7 TPL Texas Pacific Land Corp 29.74 Bn 126.16 78.66 0.02 Bn
8 DVN Devon Energy Corp/De 18.80 Bn 3.24 1.91 8.55 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.58 1.02
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 14.16 18.21
EV to Debt EV to Debt 3.88 54.57
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 14.69 29.98
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA -3.10 19.64
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 33.52 39.33
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.31 1.57
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 2.10 11.47
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B -1.27 2.97
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E -1.38 -25.98
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 2.76 26.80
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 37.40 31.86
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 1.56 0.78
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 23.85 1.05
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 5.95 -4.97
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -24.46 -533.65
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -18.67 52.06
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 17.88 -5.45
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -20.77 6.14
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 1.23 105.89
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -23.22 75.94
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -29.92 17.44
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -36.59 3.07
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 80.79 -43.36
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 8.38 149.32
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.54 0.33
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.12 0.07
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.21 1.32
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 0.89 2.37
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.29 0.34
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 5.95 -4.97
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 5.95 -4.97
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 31.70 16.19
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 17.26 -16.83
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 14.36 -24.06
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 57.10 58.92
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 10.60 -28.75