AdvanSix Inc. (NYSE: ASIX)

Sector: Basic Materials Industry: Chemicals CIK: 0001673985
Market Cap 484.30 Mn
P/B 0.63
P/E 10.97
P/S 0.32
ROIC (Qtr) 3.12
Div Yield % 4.42
Rev 1y % (Qtr) -5.96
Total Debt (Qtr) 406.62 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.50
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About

AdvanSix Inc., known by its ticker symbol ASIX, is a prominent player in the global chemistry industry, specializing in the production and sale of nylon solutions, plant nutrients, and chemical intermediates. The company's operations span across various end markets, with a significant presence in approximately 50 countries worldwide. AdvanSix's revenue is primarily generated through the sale of its key products, including nylon 6 resin, caprolactam, ammonium sulfate fertilizer, and chemical intermediates such as acetone, phenol, and cyclohexanone....

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Operating cash flow of 123.31M provides strong 15.79x coverage of stock compensation 7.81M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Operating cash flow of 123.31M provides exceptional 14.87x coverage of interest expenses 8.29M, showing strong debt service capability.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 1.59B provides 3.91x coverage of total debt 406.62M, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Tangible assets of 1.59B provide exceptional 2336.71x coverage of deferred revenue 681000, showing strong service capability backing.
  • Operating cash flow of 123.31M provides strong 181.07x coverage of deferred revenue 681000, indicating service delivery capability.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 123.31M barely covers its investment activities of (132.48M), with a coverage ratio of -0.93, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • With cash reserves of 23.70M against inventory of 209.12M, the 0.11 cash-to-inventory ratio suggests potential liquidity risks if inventory turnover slows, particularly concerning given current supply chain volatilities.
  • Operating cash flow of 123.31M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (17.15M) with a -7.19 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Operating cash flow of 123.31M provides minimal -15x coverage of tax expenses of (8.22M), suggesting potential tax planning inefficiencies or unsustainable tax positions.
  • Free cash flow of 108000 provides weak coverage of capital expenditures of 123.20M, with a 0 ratio suggesting additional external financing needs for growth initiatives.

Product and Service Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Geographical Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Chemicals
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 DOW Dow Inc. 22.27 Bn -8.49 0.56 19.60 Bn
2 CE Celanese Corp 6.07 Bn 3.05 0.57 13.13 Bn
3 MEOH Methanex Corp 4.41 Bn 45.97 2.24 3.64 Bn
4 OLN OLIN Corp 3.95 Bn 50.79 0.65 3.30 Bn
5 HUN Huntsman CORP 2.92 Bn 8.95 0.39 2.40 Bn
6 REX REX AMERICAN RESOURCES Corp 1.12 Bn 22.21 1.72 0.02 Bn
7 TROX Tronox Holdings plc 1.06 Bn -9.74 0.40 3.46 Bn
8 GPRE Green Plains Inc. 0.89 Bn -7.32 0.42 0.57 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.46 0.76
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 5.71 10.63
EV to Debt EV to Debt 1.90 4.16
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 13.59 -392.22
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 5.72 11.31
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 457.09 18.26
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.60 1.76
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 0.51 4.23
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 0.63 1.69
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 10.97 -53.47
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 3.06 -12.67
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 32.70 17.68
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.64 0.50
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 16,000.00 1,007.72
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 6.33 -82.93
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) 10.55 22.09
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 36.99 4.03
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 0.00 -8.48
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 31.20 -121.97
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -7.27 -25.84
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -14.62 -147.36
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -11.88 -143.26
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 35.17 -108.77
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 101.71 -91.55
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) -7.06 0.31
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.88 0.63
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.07 0.07
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.07 1.02
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 1.36 2.84
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.50 1.19
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 6.33 -82.93
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 6.33 -82.93
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 8.70 -96.08
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 3.52 -110.82
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 2.96 -114.07
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 10.00 10.84
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 3.50 -117.97