Ampco Pittsburgh Corp (NYSE: AP)

Sector: Industrials Industry: Metal Fabrication CIK: 0000006176
Market Cap 154.98 Mn
P/B 2.58
P/E -29.23
P/S 0.36
ROIC (Qtr) 3.86
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 12.32
Total Debt (Qtr) 139.86 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 2.33
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About

Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation (AP), a company based in Pennsylvania since 1929, is a significant player in the manufacturing and selling of highly engineered, high-performance specialty metal products and customized equipment. Its operations span across two business segments: Forged and Cast Engineered Products (FCEP) and Air and Liquid Processing (ALP). The FCEP segment is responsible for the production of forged hardened steel rolls, cast rolls, and forged engineered products (FEP). These products find their primary use in hot and cold rolling...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong tangible asset base of 519.80M provides 3.72x coverage of total debt 139.86M, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Robust tangible asset base of 519.80M provides 4.57x coverage of working capital 113.78M, indicating strong operational backing.
  • Tangible assets of 519.80M provide robust 7.25x coverage of other current liabilities 71.65M, indicating strong asset backing.
  • Operating cash flow of 6.09M provides strong 13.04x coverage of tax liabilities 467000, showing excellent fiscal position.
  • Cash reserves of 14.96M provide comfortable 32.03x coverage of tax obligations 467000, showing strong fiscal management.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 6.09M barely covers its investment activities of (6.09M), with a coverage ratio of -1, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • With cash reserves of 14.96M against inventory of 119.17M, the 0.13 cash-to-inventory ratio suggests potential liquidity risks if inventory turnover slows, particularly concerning given current supply chain volatilities.
  • The company's operating cash flow of 6.09M shows concerning coverage of stock compensation expenses of 1.48M, with a 4.12 ratio indicating potential earnings quality issues.
  • Free cash flow of (648000) provides weak coverage of capital expenditures of 6.74M, with a -0.10 ratio suggesting additional external financing needs for growth initiatives.
  • Operating earnings of 8.04M show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 18.61M, with a 0.43 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Geographical Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Metal Fabrication
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 ATI Ati Inc 20.40 Bn 45.86 4.45 1.91 Bn
2 CRS Carpenter Technology Corp 18.78 Bn 45.38 6.49 0.69 Bn
3 MLI Mueller Industries Inc 13.25 Bn 20.13 3.33 0.03 Bn
4 ESAB ESAB Corp 8.11 Bn 30.60 2.96 1.34 Bn
5 WOR Worthington Enterprises, Inc. 4.07 Bn 25.93 1.54 0.35 Bn
6 PRLB Proto Labs Inc 1.57 Bn 106.06 3.04 0.00 Bn
7 RYI Ryerson Holding Corp 0.89 Bn 7.72 0.16 0.86 Bn
8 IIIN Insteel Industries Inc 0.72 Bn 15.23 1.07 0.00 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.54 1.76
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 46.74 24.33
EV to Debt EV to Debt 2.03 75.42
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 35.41 12.80
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 11.60 -130.25
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF -439.22 70.90
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.84 0.24
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 0.67 1.91
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 2.58 3.80
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E -29.23 22.15
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 0.00 2.28
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 40.29
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.30
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 265.01
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 0.70 618.70
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) 49.93 29.14
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 26.29 42.29
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 0.00 0.66
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 138.02 -10.15
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 238.35 118.55
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 124.41 -10.94
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 92.35 -12.52
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 88.60 -38.14
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -117.22 28.40
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 10.15 17.54
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.81 0.97
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.08
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.11 0.67
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 1.84 2.58
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 2.33 0.60
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 0.70 618.70
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 0.70 618.70
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 6.30 6.15
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 1.89 2.67
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) -0.79 1.83
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 20.00 26.31
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) -1.20 0.14