Mueller Industries Inc (NYSE: MLI)

Sector: Industrials Industry: Metal Fabrication CIK: 0000089439
Market Cap 13.25 Bn
P/B 7.40
P/E 20.13
P/S 3.33
ROIC (Qtr) 23.36
Div Yield % 0.63
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 8.02
Total Debt (Qtr) 28.94 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.01
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About

Mueller Industries Inc. (MLI), a prominent player in the manufacturing sector, specializes in copper, brass, aluminum, and plastic products. Its operations span across the piping systems, industrial metals, and climate segments, with a diverse range of offerings. The company's Piping Systems segment, which is its primary revenue generator, includes Domestic Piping Systems Group, Great Lakes Copper, European Operations, Trading Group, Jungwoo Metal Ind. Co., Ltd., and Mueller Middle East. This segment is responsible for manufacturing and distributing...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 754.35M provides robust 26.06x coverage of total debt 28.94M, indicating excellent debt servicing capability and financial flexibility.
  • Healthy cash reserves of 1.26B provide 150.37x coverage of short-term debt 8.39M, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Operating cash flow of 754.35M provides exceptional 6132.96x coverage of interest expenses 123000, showing strong debt service capability.
  • Operating cash flow of 754.35M provides exceptional 79.49x coverage of minority interest expenses 9.49M, showing strong core operations.
  • Operating cash flow of 754.35M provides strong 27.78x coverage of stock compensation 27.16M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 754.35M barely covers its investment activities of (68.47M), with a coverage ratio of -11.02, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 754.35M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (104.03M) with a -7.25 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Operating cash flow of 754.35M is outpaced by equity issuance of (243.62M) (-3.10 ratio), indicating concerning reliance on equity markets for funding operations.
  • Retained earnings of 3.64B provide limited buffer against comprehensive income items of (58.48M), which is -62.17x, indicating elevated exposure to market risks.
  • Tax assets of 0 provide limited offset against tax liabilities of 37.88M, which is 0x, indicating potential future cash flow pressure from tax obligations.

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Geographical Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Metal Fabrication
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 ATI Ati Inc 20.40 Bn 45.86 4.45 1.91 Bn
2 CRS Carpenter Technology Corp 18.78 Bn 45.38 6.49 0.69 Bn
3 MLI Mueller Industries Inc 13.25 Bn 20.13 3.33 0.03 Bn
4 ESAB ESAB Corp 8.11 Bn 30.60 2.96 1.34 Bn
5 WOR Worthington Enterprises, Inc. 4.07 Bn 25.93 1.54 0.35 Bn
6 PRLB Proto Labs Inc 1.57 Bn 106.06 3.04 0.00 Bn
7 RYI Ryerson Holding Corp 0.89 Bn 7.72 0.16 0.86 Bn
8 IIIN Insteel Industries Inc 0.72 Bn 15.23 1.07 0.00 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 3.46 1.76
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 17.67 24.33
EV to Debt EV to Debt 442.08 75.42
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 14.50 12.80
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 13.89 -130.25
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 18.64 70.90
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 0.97 0.24
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 3.21 1.91
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 7.40 3.80
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 20.13 22.15
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 7.20 2.28
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 13.90 40.29
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.95 0.30
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 15.32 265.01
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 8,123.25 618.70
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -18.31 29.14
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 30.67 42.29
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 26.67 0.66
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 27.58 -10.15
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 32.18 118.55
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 25.94 -10.94
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 26.09 -12.52
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 29.66 -38.14
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 10.13 28.40
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 23.85 17.54
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 1.12 0.97
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.13 0.08
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 2.51 0.67
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 4.83 2.58
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.01 0.60
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 8,123.25 618.70
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 8,123.25 618.70
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 25.90 6.15
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 24.14 2.67
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 24.13 1.83
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 29.50 26.31
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 18.10 0.14