Alamo Group Inc (NYSE: ALG)

Sector: Industrials Industry: Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery CIK: 0000897077
Market Cap 2.46 Bn
P/B 4.38
P/E 38.76
P/S 2.10
ROIC (Qtr) 8.89
Div Yield % 0.40
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 4.67
Total Debt (Qtr) 209.43 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.18
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About

Alamo Group Inc. (ALG) is a prominent player in the design, manufacture, and servicing of high-quality vegetation management and infrastructure maintenance equipment for governmental, industrial, and agricultural use. With a significant presence in the United States and other key markets, the company operates under the ticker symbol ALG and offers a wide range of products and services. ALG's main business activities focus on the design, manufacture, and distribution of a diverse array of products. These include tractor-mounted and self-propelled...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 181.56M provides robust 0.87x coverage of total debt 209.43M, indicating excellent debt servicing capability and financial flexibility.
  • Healthy cash reserves of 244.81M provide 16.32x coverage of short-term debt 15M, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Operating cash flow of 181.56M provides exceptional 12.74x coverage of interest expenses 14.25M, showing strong debt service capability.
  • Operating cash flow of 181.56M provides strong 17.59x coverage of stock compensation 10.32M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 1.23B provides 5.89x coverage of total debt 209.43M, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 181.56M barely covers its investment activities of (48.02M), with a coverage ratio of -3.78, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 181.56M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (13.92M) with a -13.04 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Cash reserves of 244.81M provide limited coverage of acquisition spending of (17.58M), which is -13.92x, suggesting aggressive expansion might strain liquidity if market conditions deteriorate.
  • Free cash flow of 151.36M represents just -10.08x of debt issuance (15.01M), suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.
  • Operating cash flow of 181.56M is outpaced by equity issuance of (1.23M) (-148.21 ratio), indicating concerning reliance on equity markets for funding operations.

Product and Service Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Geographical Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 CAT Caterpillar Inc 483.60 Bn 124.96 8.76 43.33 Bn
2 DE Deere & Co 188.47 Bn 68.51 5.30 63.94 Bn
3 PCAR Paccar Inc 68.19 Bn 57.51 3.81 15.85 Bn
4 CNH CNH Industrial N.V. 16.63 Bn 27.85 0.93 27.17 Bn
5 AGCO Agco Corp /De 10.86 Bn 33.29 1.16 2.56 Bn
6 OSK Oshkosh Corp 10.81 Bn 16.71 1.04 1.10 Bn
7 TEX Terex Corp 4.57 Bn 20.69 0.84 2.58 Bn
8 ALG Alamo Group Inc 2.46 Bn 38.76 2.10 0.21 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 1.79 1.36
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 22.55 2.52
EV to Debt EV to Debt 13.65 36.19
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 28.72 19.84
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 21.85 11.98
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 29.31 10.22
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.16 2.67
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 2.44 2.22
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 4.38 2.56
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 38.76 19.56
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 8.36 116,909.42
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 12.00 51.44
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 1.20 1.01
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 9.54 11.55
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 11.71 6.02
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -75.72 -4.60
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 74.81 27.84
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 15.38 -2.90
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -7.50 22.54
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -4.01 2.73
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -6.79 36.64
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -1.77 2,839.65
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -2.81 154.78
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -9.68 -12.49
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) -5.82 -11.09
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 1.01 1.00
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.07 0.07
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 1.11 0.46
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 4.43 2.51
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.18 0.43
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 11.71 6.02
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 11.71 6.02
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 13.70 -7.57
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 10.33 -11.88
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 9.45 -14.87
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 25.00 19.78
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 7.20 -16.22