Paccar Inc (NASDAQ: PCAR)

Sector: Industrials Industry: Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery CIK: 0000075362
Market Cap 68.19 Bn
P/B 11.63
P/E 57.51
P/S 3.81
ROIC (Qtr) 9.39
Div Yield % 1.03
Rev 1y % (Qtr) -19.03
Total Debt (Qtr) 15.85 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.82
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About

PACCAR Inc, commonly known as PACCAR, operates in the commercial vehicles industry with the ticker symbol PCAR. The company is a leading manufacturer of high-quality, light-, medium- and heavy-duty commercial trucks, which are marketed under the Kenworth, Peterbilt, and DAF nameplates. PACCAR's operations span across the design, manufacture, and distribution of commercial trucks, as well as the distribution of aftermarket parts for these trucks. The company's business activities are primarily focused on the production and distribution of commercial...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong tangible asset base of 44.20B provides 2.79x coverage of total debt 15.85B, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Strong operating cash flow of 4.72B provides 6.48x coverage of SG&A expenses 728.50M, showing efficient operational cost management.
  • Robust free cash flow of 3.19B exceeds capital expenditure of 1.52B by 2.10x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Long-term investments of 20.01B provide solid 1.26x coverage of long-term debt 15.85B, indicating strategic financial planning.
  • Cash reserves of 6.30B provide ample 14.92x coverage of acquisition spending 422.50M, enabling strategic growth opportunities.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 4.72B barely covers its investment activities of (3.25B), with a coverage ratio of -1.45, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Investment activities of (3.25B) provide weak support for R&D spending of 454.60M, which is -7.14x, suggesting potentially insufficient investment in innovation relative to other capital deployment.
  • Operating cash flow of 4.72B provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (2.25B) with a -2.10 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Long-term investments of 20.01B represent a high 3.17x of fixed assets 6.31B, indicating potential overexposure to financial assets versus operational capabilities.
  • Retained earnings of 19.05B provide limited buffer against comprehensive income items of (569.30M), which is -33.46x, indicating elevated exposure to market risks.

Subsegments Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Geographical Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 CAT Caterpillar Inc 483.60 Bn 124.96 8.76 43.33 Bn
2 DE Deere & Co 188.47 Bn 68.51 5.30 63.94 Bn
3 PCAR Paccar Inc 68.19 Bn 57.51 3.81 15.85 Bn
4 CNH CNH Industrial N.V. 16.63 Bn 27.85 0.93 27.17 Bn
5 AGCO Agco Corp /De 10.86 Bn 33.29 1.16 2.56 Bn
6 OSK Oshkosh Corp 10.81 Bn 16.71 1.04 1.10 Bn
7 TEX Terex Corp 4.57 Bn 20.69 0.84 2.58 Bn
8 ALG Alamo Group Inc 2.46 Bn 38.76 2.10 0.21 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 1.67 1.36
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 54.40 2.52
EV to Debt EV to Debt 4.66 36.19
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 38.76 19.84
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 28.79 11.98
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF -206.12 10.22
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.08 2.67
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 4.13 2.22
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 11.63 2.56
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 57.51 19.56
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 1.20 116,909.42
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 83.80 51.44
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 4.29 1.01
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 70.64 11.55
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 5.44 6.02
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) 5.16 -4.60
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -7.96 27.84
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) -1.15 -2.90
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -37.14 22.54
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -29.53 2.73
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -35.28 36.64
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -41.15 2,839.65
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -42.92 154.78
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 15.07 -12.49
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) -24.05 -11.09
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.67 1.00
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.36 0.07
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 1.23 0.46
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 2.83 2.51
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.82 0.43
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 5.44 6.02
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 5.44 6.02
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 16.20 -7.57
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 14.39 -11.88
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 11.74 -14.87
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 20.70 19.78
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 9.10 -16.22