Deere & Co (NYSE: DE)

Sector: Industrials Industry: Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery CIK: 0000315189
Market Cap 188.47 Bn
P/B 14.57
P/E 68.51
P/S 5.30
ROIC (Qtr) 7.79
Div Yield % 0.78
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 11.22
Total Debt (Qtr) 63.94 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 2.46
Add ratio to table...

About

Deere & Company, or more commonly known as John Deere, is a prominent player in the manufacturing industry, specifically in the agricultural, construction, and forestry equipment sector. Additionally, the company offers financial services to support its equipment sales and aid customers in managing their cash flow. John Deere's operations span across four business segments: Production and Precision Agriculture (PPA), Small Agriculture and Turf (SAT), Construction and Forestry (CF), and Financial Services (FS). The PPA segment is dedicated to addressing...

Read more

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Robust free cash flow of 3742 exceeds capital expenditure of 1358 by 2.76x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Cash reserves of 8.28B provide ample 92988764.04x coverage of acquisition spending 89, enabling strategic growth opportunities.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 100.92B provides 1133887640.45x coverage of acquisition spending 89, enabling strategic growth.
  • Retained earnings of 59.68B represent substantial 2.30x of equity 25.95B, indicating strong internal capital generation.
  • Retained earnings of 59.68B provide strong 11.75x coverage of intangibles 5.08B, indicating quality earnings retention.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 5100 barely covers its investment activities of (1449), with a coverage ratio of -3.52, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 5100 provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (1720) with a -2.97 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Investment activities of (1449) provide weak support for R&D spending of 2.31B, which is -0x, suggesting potentially insufficient investment in innovation relative to other capital deployment.
  • Operating cash flow of 5100 provides minimal 0x coverage of tax expenses of 1.26B, suggesting potential tax planning inefficiencies or unsustainable tax positions.
  • Retained earnings of 59.68B provide limited buffer against comprehensive income items of (3.03B), which is -19.68x, indicating elevated exposure to market risks.

Timing of Transfer of Good or Service Breakdown of Revenue (2025)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 CAT Caterpillar Inc 483.60 Bn 124.96 8.76 43.33 Bn
2 DE Deere & Co 188.47 Bn 68.51 5.30 63.94 Bn
3 PCAR Paccar Inc 68.19 Bn 57.51 3.81 15.85 Bn
4 CNH CNH Industrial N.V. 16.63 Bn 27.85 0.93 27.17 Bn
5 AGCO Agco Corp /De 10.86 Bn 33.29 1.16 2.56 Bn
6 OSK Oshkosh Corp 10.81 Bn 16.71 1.04 1.10 Bn
7 TEX Terex Corp 4.57 Bn 20.69 0.84 2.58 Bn
8 ALG Alamo Group Inc 2.46 Bn 38.76 2.10 0.21 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 2.16 1.36
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 30.57 2.52
EV to Debt EV to Debt 3.58 36.19
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 45.03 19.84
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 31.56 11.98
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 34.61 10.22
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.21 2.67
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 6.44 2.22
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 14.57 2.56
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 68.51 19.56
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 2,922,674.42 116,909.42
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 34.90 51.44
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 6.48 1.01
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 11.55
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 2.98 6.02
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) 16.99 -4.60
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 13.00 27.84
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 10.20 -2.90
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -21.92 22.54
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -24.91 2.73
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -24.61 36.64
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -31.63 2,839.65
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -27.91 154.78
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -28.98 -12.49
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) -16.31 -11.09
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.43 1.00
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.27 0.07
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio 0.00 0.46
Current Ratio Current Ratio 0.00 2.51
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 2.46 0.43
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 2.98 6.02
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 2.98 6.02
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 20.70 -7.57
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 20.70 -11.88
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 13.76 -14.87
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 38.40 19.78
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 11.00 -16.22