Ashford Hospitality Trust Inc (NYSE: AHT)

Sector: Real Estate Industry: REIT - Hotel & Motel CIK: 0001232582
Market Cap 16.97 Mn
P/B -0.03
P/E -0.06
P/S 0.02
ROIC (Qtr) 3.01
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) -3.81
Total Debt (Qtr) 2.97 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) -5.42
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About

Ashford Hospitality Trust Inc, recognized by its ticker symbol AHT, is a prominent real estate investment trust (REIT) specializing in the ownership and operation of upscale hotels across the United States. The company's primary business activities encompass investing in and operating hotels, as well as providing asset management and advisory services to its subsidiaries and third-party clients. Ashford Hospitality Trust operates within the hospitality industry, with its main business activities revolving around direct hotel investments. The company's...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Operating cash flow of 10.95M provides strong 377.45x coverage of stock compensation 29000, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Retained earnings of (2.95B) represent substantial 5.38x of equity (548.74M), indicating strong internal capital generation.
  • Operating cash flow of 10.95M provides strong 2.92x coverage of inventory 3.75M, indicating efficient inventory management.
  • Cash reserves of 246.12M exceed inventory value of 3.75M by 65.69x, indicating strong liquidity and inventory management.
  • Strong free cash flow of 104.08M provides 1.38x coverage of SG&A expenses 75.51M, indicating efficient cost management.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 10.95M barely covers its investment activities of 112.55M, with a coverage ratio of 0.10, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 10.95M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (23.40M) with a -0.47 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • High receivables of 76.20M relative to inventory of 3.75M (20.34 ratio) suggests aggressive credit terms or collection difficulties, potentially masking revenue quality issues.
  • Free cash flow of 104.08M provides weak coverage of capital expenditures of (93.14M), with a -1.12 ratio suggesting additional external financing needs for growth initiatives.
  • Operating cash flow of 10.95M provides minimal -6.75x coverage of tax expenses of (1.62M), suggesting potential tax planning inefficiencies or unsustainable tax positions.

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Peer comparison

Companies in the REIT - Hotel & Motel
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 HST Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc. 11.01 Bn -1,000.50 3.81 5.64 Bn
2 RHP Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc. 5.24 Bn 19.78 4.11 4.13 Bn
3 PK Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. 2.45 Bn 8.02 0.92 4.78 Bn
4 DRH DiamondRock Hospitality Co 1.84 Bn -111.00 2.53 1.19 Bn
5 XHR Xenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc. 1.80 Bn 16.40 1.94 1.42 Bn
6 PEB Pebblebrook Hotel Trust 1.65 Bn -3.89 3.73 2.57 Bn
7 RLJ RLJ Lodging Trust 1.36 Bn 31.88 1.08 2.34 Bn
8 APLE Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc. 1.13 Bn 14.99 3.09 1.62 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.92 0.89
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 253.14 26.26
EV to Debt EV to Debt 0.93 1.73
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 40.60 25.23
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 12.68 10.84
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 26.62 19.67
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 163.31 13.92
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 2.47 3.79
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B -0.03 2.70
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E -0.06 -67.28
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) -4.74 -3.61
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 438.75
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.72
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 42.25
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 0.22 1.26
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -50.82 -27.90
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 5.21 82.84
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 0.00 15.12
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -81.05 -26.70
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -55.14 -3.05
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -81.87 -26.98
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -750.81 -431.84
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -911.64 -120.53
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -19.95 73.92
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) -9.51 -2.32
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.37 0.34
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) -0.20 0.16
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio 0.00 0.00
Current Ratio Current Ratio 0.00 0.07
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) -5.42 1.85
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 0.22 1.26
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 0.22 1.26
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 19.00 23.64
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 6.09 9.54
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) -21.09 -0.79
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 24.80 38.19
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) -23.90 -2.21