Willis Lease Finance Corp (NASDAQ: WLFC)

Sector: Industrials Industry: Rental & Leasing Services CIK: 0001018164
Market Cap 1.57 Bn
P/B 7.41
P/E 100.75
P/S 9.94
ROIC (Qtr) 4.96
Div Yield % 0.20
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 25.42
Total Debt (Qtr) 2.24 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 3.44
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About

Willis Lease Finance Corporation (WLFC) operates in the aircraft leasing industry, specializing as a lessor and servicer of commercial aircraft and aircraft engines. The company's main business activities revolve around building value for its shareholders by acquiring commercial aircraft and engines and managing these assets to generate returns through lease rents, maintenance reserve revenues, and management fees. WLFC boasts a global presence, with operations in various countries. The company's revenue is primarily generated through its Leasing...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Tangible assets of 3.39B provide exceptional 93.30x coverage of deferred revenue 36.38M, showing strong service capability backing.
  • Operating cash flow of 277.04M provides strong 7.62x coverage of deferred revenue 36.38M, indicating service delivery capability.
  • Free cash flow of (164.12M) provides excellent 22.01x coverage of dividends (7.46M), indicating sustainable shareholder returns.
  • Cash reserves of 170.97M provide ample 9.29x coverage of acquisition spending 18.41M, enabling strategic growth opportunities.
  • Operating cash flow of 277.04M provides strong 5.16x coverage of inventory 53.71M, indicating efficient inventory management.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 277.04M barely covers its investment activities of (418.15M), with a coverage ratio of -0.66, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 277.04M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (7.46M) with a -37.16 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Free cash flow of (164.12M) provides weak coverage of capital expenditures of 441.16M, with a -0.37 ratio suggesting additional external financing needs for growth initiatives.
  • Operating earnings of 302.38M show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 105.39M, with a 2.87 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.
  • Free cash flow of (164.12M) represents just -0.69x of debt issuance 238.31M, suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Rental & Leasing Services
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 URI United Rentals, Inc. 55.62 Bn 22.30 3.45 15.35 Bn
2 FTAI FTAI Aviation Ltd. 27.80 Bn -179.72 106.00 3.45 Bn
3 AER AerCap Holdings N.V. 26.27 Bn 7.00 3.08 43.57 Bn
4 UHAL U-Haul Holding Co /NV/ 13.75 Bn 106.91 2.29 8.06 Bn
5 GATX Gatx Corp 9.00 Bn 53.16 6.81 9.03 Bn
6 R Ryder System Inc 8.88 Bn 17.80 0.70 7.65 Bn
7 AL Air Lease Corp 7.23 Bn 6.92 2.40 19.73 Bn
8 HRI Herc Holdings Inc 5.00 Bn 5,004.00 1.14 9.68 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.67 1.32
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 28.35 77.20
EV to Debt EV to Debt 1.02 3.45
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 45.52 -105.66
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 21.64 20.85
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF -128.76 -1.38
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.45 3.10
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 14.37 9.87
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 7.41 7.72
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 100.75 277.95
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 8.90 3.00
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 5.80 500.03
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 1.00 1.19
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) -4.15 6.22
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 2.34 -60.94
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -31.55 17.05
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 62.63 54.66
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) -20.00 0.10
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 29.27 38.63
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 11.04 5.40
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 25.53 2.84
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 20.89 42.60
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 19.26 243.85
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -182.20 5.41
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 24.68 31.59
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.20 0.54
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.01 0.03
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio 0.00 0.21
Current Ratio Current Ratio 0.00 1.01
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 3.44 20.57
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 2.34 -60.94
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 2.34 -60.94
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 59.10 35.32
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 43.86 12.98
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 25.12 3.50
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 91.90 42.91
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 17.00 1.24